By William ICKES, Simon STURDEE
Paris (AFP) Jan 6, 2016
Hydrogen bombs, which North Korea said Wednesday it tested for the first time, have a destructive power to dwarf even the nuclear weapons dropped on Japan in 1945.
If confirmed that North Korea did indeed carry out a successful test of a miniature version of such a device, this would put the impoverished hermit state in a select club of countries.
The relatively small size of the explosion makes experts sceptical that Pyongyang has mastered the technology, however.
- Fusion vs. fission -
The first kind of nuclear devices used were atomic bombs, like those used by the United States to flatten the Japanese cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki in World War II, killing tens of thousands of people.
They work when a neutron collides with an atom's nucleus, a process called fission, releasing more neutrons and huge amounts of destructive energy.
A hydrogen (or thermonuclear) bomb starts off in the same way, but the extremely high temperatures -- many tens of thousands of degrees -- cause isotopes of hydrogen to "fusion" or join together, the same kind of reaction that powers the Sun.
The resulting blast creates a second fission stage that is many times the size of explosion created by the first. It must be measured in megatons -- equivalent to a million tonnes of TNT -- rather that the kiloton ranges seen in 1945.
The first US thermonuclear test was "Ivy Mike" in 1952 on the Enewetak atoll in the Marshall Islands. The Soviet Union responded with "Joe 19" in 1955.
Britain and France have both tested devices with yields exceeding two megatons, Britain in 1957 at Christmas Island and France in 1968 at Fangataufa Atoll, with China in 1967.
According to Hans Kristensen, a nuclear expert with the Federation of American Scientists, "the US, UK, and French only use thermonuclear. Russia mainly so but it might still have some lower-yield weapons that are single stage" or fission-only warheads.
He believes that India, Israel and Pakistan have also achieved single-stage fission capability, but Robert Kelley, an expert at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), told AFP: "Israel I think has gone beyond that."
Russia's 1961 "Tsar Bomba", the largest ever tested, created a 50-megaton explosion, 3,800 times more powerful than the 13 kilotons at Hiroshima, according to the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty Organisation (CTBTO).
- 'A thrilling sound' -
North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un personally signed the order three weeks ago authorising the latest test, calling for 2016 to kick off with the "thrilling sound" of a hydrogen bomb explosion.
If North Korea has mastered the technology, it could conceivably develop weapons capable of reaching neighbours in Asia and possibly the United States.
It remains unclear whether it really did test a hydrogen bomb, experts say, not least due to the relatively small size of explosion detected.
Bruce Bennett, a senior defence analyst with the Rand Corporation, said if it was an H-bomb, then the detonation clearly failed -- at least the fusion stage.
"If it were a real H-bomb, the Richter scale reading should have been about a hundred times more powerful," Bennett told AFP.
Kelley, a former US nuclear weapons scientist, said that North Korea might have built a "boosted" bomb, basically "just a fission bomb with a little bit of a boost from a tiny amount of fusion" to create a bigger yield.
"This was almost certainly a boosted bomb but the premier of North Korea can get up and say it was a hydrogen bomb and who is going to correct him?" Kelley asked AFP.
But, he concluded: "It does not meet the criteria for a true thermonuclear or hydrogen bomb."
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