TRADE WARS
Are tech titans teetering atop the market?
By Juliette MICHEL
New York (AFP) Aug 5, 2018

Silicon Valley giants have become a gargantuan force on Wall Street, as demonstrated by Apple recently topping $1 trillion in stock-market valuation.

But should we fear that a new tech bubble is ready to burst?

Here are some questions and answers about the sector:

- What does the tech sector represent on Wall Street? -

Apple ended the formal trading week worth a history-making $1 trillion.

Meanwhile, four other tech firms rounded out a list of the five most valuable companies based on share prices.

Amazon was worth $889 billion; Google-parent Alphabet was valued at $856 billion; Microsoft weighed in at $828 billion, and Facebook was valued at $513 billion.

Together, these companies account for about 20 percent of US GDP, and more than Germany's GDP.

Combined, the tech stocks account for more than 25 percent of the value of the Standard & Poor's 500, the index that includes the 500 largest companies listed in the United States.

- Is this market domination troubling? -

At the end of 1999, a few months before the infamous dot.com internet bubble burst, the five biggest companies on the stock market (Microsoft, General Electric, Cisco, Walmart and Intel) accounted for 15.5 percent of US GDP, AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould recalled in a note.

"Anyone who owned those stocks at the market top suffered some serious portfolio pain," Mould said.

"They lost money on those five names for the next decade."

He made it clear he was not predicting market woes for "FAANG" stocks -- those of Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Google.

"However, it does warn against the dangers of blindly assuming that what is working now will work forever and that paying any price for a stock will be rewarded," Mould said.

Nate Thooft of Manulife Asset Management told AFP that there was "no shortage of arguments" on why shares in those companies would continue to do well, but he saw wisdom in reducing "exposure a bit" to reduce risk.

- What is different from the bubble 20 years ago? -

Investors at that time hurled money at just about any startup with a website, even if it wasn't clear exactly how a given company was going to make money.

"Most of those companies had no earnings, a lot of them had no sales; they were still selling at huge valuation levels," said Tower Bridge Advisors portfolio manager Maris Ogg.

"Everyone was anticipating what the internet and the tech would do. They were about 20 years too early."

Since the dot.com crash, venture capitalists have shied away from startups that don't have convincing plans to become profitable.

The crash also gave rise to "a lot of healthy skepticism" about big tech companies, according to Ogg.

There is also a renewed focus on the ratio between share price and company profit, a key investing consideration that was neglected in the early 2000s.

Amazon appears to be an exception, but it has a winning record of taking on new markets, and spending heavily up front to "disrupt" the status quo in the long run.

- What are the main risks threatening the sector? -

Tech titans such as Google and Facebook have become such formidable forces that they are prime targets for regulation or fines, which could slow growth or hurt profits.

Maris said investors should be mindful to routinely rebalance their portfolios to avoid them becoming too heavy with fast-growing tech firm shares. After all, any internet firm can be eclipsed by a young startup.

"Every technology company remains vulnerable to being disrupted by a slightly more clever version of itself," BlackRock Global Allocation Team portfolio manager Russ Koesterich said in a blog post.

For example, he noted, at the time of the financial crisis Nokia had a 45 percent share of the smartphone market, the iPhone was just a year old and Facebook was a baby.

"The overall sector continues to be extraordinarily profitable, and, despite rumors to the contrary, reasonably valued," Koesterich said.


Related Links
Global Trade News

TRADE WARS
IMF warns China against aggressive economic stimulus
Beijing (AFP) July 27, 2018
China must resist taking aggressive stimulus steps as it navigates troubled economic waters as they could add to excessive debt levels leading to an "abrupt adjustment", the International Monetary Fund said Friday. The IMF warning, contained in a policy report, comes after Chinese leaders earlier this week signalled a shift toward looser fiscal policy to help barricade the world's second-largest economy against global economic turbulence. After more than a year of aggressively cracking down on d ... read more

Comment using your Disqus, Facebook, Google or Twitter login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle

TRADE WARS
Japan to spend $4.2 bn over 30 years on missile defence system radar

US Congress pushes Ballistic Missile Defense Program based on laser-armed drones

Intercept Sets Distance Record for Lockheed Martin's Hit-to-Kill PAC-3 MSE

L-3 tapped for aircraft for imagery during missile defense tests

TRADE WARS
UN panel finds further evidence of Iran link to Yemen missiles

Saudi-led coalition says destroyed Yemen rebel missile launch sites

Russian Scientist Jailed as Moscow Probes Hypersonic Missile Secrets Leak

Raytheon, Lockheed receive contract for Javelin missile production

TRADE WARS
An insect-inspired drone deforms upon impact

AeroVironment awarded contract for drone data links for Norway

Insitu receives contract for ScanEagle UAVs for Afghanistan

Insitu awarded contract for RQ-21 unmanned aerial vehicles

TRADE WARS
Why Ku-band HTS is superior for AISR

Asia is a huge growth market for government SATCOM

DARPA, Lockheed Martin Demonstrate Technologies to Enable a Connected Warfighter Network

IntelsatOne FlexAir Coming This Summer for Government Aircraft Operations

TRADE WARS
Marines to use current Humvee turrets on new JLTVs

Iveco, Leonardo consortium lands Italian contract for armored vehicles

Wamore receives U.S. Army contract for air drop equipment

US Army Looking Away From Counter-Insurgency Warfare to High-Tech Future Battles

TRADE WARS
Profits down at military equipment firm BAE Systems

US releases $195 million in frozen military aid to Egypt

EU anti-trust officials probe Thales, Gemalto merger

Some countries buying Russian gear deserve sanctions waivers: Mattis

TRADE WARS
Pentagon chief: talks with Russian counterpart possible

BRICS nations pledge unity against US trade war threat

Chinese man sets off explosive outside US embassy: police

Russia dismisses US Crimea declaration

TRADE WARS
Researchers use nanotechnology to improve the accuracy of measuring devices

Individual silver nanoparticles observed in real time

A new 'periodic table' for nanomaterials

Physicists uncover why nanomaterial loses superconductivity