TRADE WARS
China weakens yuan to eight-year low
By Albee ZHANG
Shanghai (AFP) Nov 15, 2016


China on Tuesday weakened the yuan's fix against the dollar to a nearly eight-year low as the surging dollar put further pressure on the unit, complicating Beijing's efforts to manage it.

The central People's Bank of China set the value of the yuan -- also known as the renminbi -- at 6.8495 to the greenback, down 0.30 percent from Monday's fixing, according to data from the Foreign Exchange Trade System.

The unit has reached a series of six-year lows in recent weeks in the face of a greenback rising on expectations of sharper US interest rate hikes, with President-elect Donald Trump pledging during his campaign to ramp up spending and cut taxes.

But Tuesday's fix was the weakest since December 2008, and beyond the roughly 6.83 level at which Beijing virtually pegged the unit for nine months in 2009-10, in the aftermath of the global financial crisis.

China only allows the yuan to rise or fall two percent on either side of the daily fix, one of the ways it maintains control over the currency.

During the presidential campaign Trump repeatedly accused China of keeping the yuan undervalued to boost exports and threatened to declare Beijing a currency manipulator once in office.

But analysts and officials say that Beijing is now intervening in the opposite direction, and trying to prop up the unit's value against a strengthening greenback.

The US Treasury in October cleared China of keeping the yuan cheap for trade advantages, saying the currency could have fallen more had Beijing not acted.

"It's a USD story so far -- and possible intervention to see us back from the brink," Michael Every, head of Asia-Pacific financial markets research at Rabo Bank, said in a written response to AFP.

Barclays forecasts that the onshore yuan will fall to 7.15 against the dollar by the end of the third quarter next year.

The bank's Singapore-based head of Asia FX and rates strategy Mitul Kotech said the yuan was basically tracking moves by the dollar.

"We are still awaiting what policies are going to be in terms of Trump's policies towards (China) given what he said in the run-up to the election."

It was "not a cause of concern at this point in time" he said.

But while Trump's direction in office remains unclear, he has also threatened to impose tariffs of 45 percent on Chinese-made goods, raising the prospect of a trans-Pacific trade war.

Dariusz Kowalczyk, senior emerging market strategist at Credit Agricole, warned that "concerns over the impact of US tariffs on China's growth and external position would magnify the outflow.

"China's international investment position shows that there is still a lot of capital that could leave," he said in a note.

- Losing faith -

A weaker yuan could help Chinese exports, which fell for a seventh consecutive month in October but are still a key growth driver for the world's second-largest economy.

But it also threatens to accelerate capital flight -- which in turn adds to downed pressure on the currency.

In August last year, Beijing suddenly devalued the yuan, causing investors to dump the unit in volumes not seen since 1994 and sparking an outflow of money from China.

China has spent hundreds of billions of dollars from its vast foreign exchange reserves, the world's largest, in its efforts to keep the renminbi from falling too rapidly.

"Yuan deprecation means more capital outflow and more pressure on China's foreign exchange reserves," Liao Qun, Citic Bank International Chief economist, told AFP.

"This will affect the world's confidence towards the renminbi, as well as faith in China's economy.

"China is trying to push for the internationalisation of the yuan and if the market lost its faith in the unit, the process could become more difficult."

The International Monetary Fund in October officially included yuan in its elite SDR reserve currency basket, a symbolic coup for Beijing policymakers.

The onshore yuan closed at 6.8530, 0.18 percent weaker than Monday's close of 6.8409, according to the Foreign Exchange Trade System.

azk/slb/ds

BANK OF CHINA


Comment on this article using your Disqus, Facebook, Google or Twitter login.

.


Related Links
Global Trade News






Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle

Previous Report
TRADE WARS
China says retail sales growth slows in October
Beijing (AFP) Nov 14, 2016
China's retail sales growth slowed last month, government data showed Monday, in a worrying sign for domestic demand in the world's second-largest economy. Retail sales in October grew 10 percent from a year earlier, missing expectations for sales to match the previous month's pace of 10.7 percent, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said. Other data for last month showed industrial ... read more


TRADE WARS
US general says missile system in S. Korea in 8-10 months

Yemen rebel missile shot down near Mecca: coalition

US to deploy missile defense to South Korea 'soon'

China, Russia blast US missile defence at regional forum

TRADE WARS
USS Carl Vinson test-fires Rolling Airframe Missile, Phalanx

Is China's new short-range missile system designed to compete with Iskander

Raytheon receives Rolling Airframe Missile contract modification

BAE receives max $600 million U.S. Navy contract for laser-guided rockets

TRADE WARS
A remote-controlled drone helps in designing future wireless networks

U.S. Navy's first drone squadron stands up

Iraqi forces battle car bombs with commercial drones

China to export CH-5 drone

TRADE WARS
Unfurlable mesh reflectors deploy on 5th MUOS satellite

Ultra Electronics, GigaSat becomes channel partner for Milspace comms in Indonesia

NATO contracts for satellite services

Airbus DS awarded contract for Maritime Network Evolution with the UK MoD

TRADE WARS
Duterte approves U.S. assault rifle deal for Philippine police

Lithuania acquires sniper rifles

DARPA extends EW contract work by BAE Systems

Lasers, hybrid power for Army's next-gen combat vehicle, experts say

TRADE WARS
U.S. Foreign Military Sales hit $33.6 billion for 2016

After State Dept. blocks the sale, Rodrigo Duterte cancels order for 26,000 U.S. M16s

UK ex-minister says MoD misled him over Saudi arms deal

Turkish foreign minister hits back at 'weak' Iraq PM

TRADE WARS
Poland founds volunteer force with eye on Russia

NATO chief warns against 'going it alone'

EU ministers seek 'strong partnership' with Trump

UN chief confident Trump will drop rhetoric, show leadership

TRADE WARS
Researchers use acoustic waves to move fluids at the nanoscale

First time physicists observed and quantified tiny nanoparticle crossing lipid membrane

Shedding light on the formation of nanodroplets in aqueous

'Pressure-welding' nanotubes creates ultrastrong material