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Is the world ready for the 'digital transformation'?
By Alex PIGMAN
Davos, Switzerland (AFP) Jan 24, 2019

OECD hopes for global digital tax by 2020
Davos, Switzerland (AFP) Jan 24, 2019 - OECD Secretary-General Angel Gurria said Thursday he hopes to lay the foundations this year for an international tax on digital giants that could come into force in 2020.

The possibility of an international deal to tax US tech giants such as Amazon, Google and Facebook is sensitive, as countries threaten to go it alone and Europe is divided on the issue.

"It is possible," the head of the Organisation for Economic Development and Cooperation (OECD) told AFP at the World Economic Forum in Davos.

"I believe that the conditions exist to lay the foundations for an agreement this year that could be approved and enter into force in 2020," he said.

The prediction comes a year after the scheme looked doomed as member countries failed to agree a text presented to the G20.

At the time, "we didn't think we could do it this year", acknowledged Gurria, who believes that "a space for consensus could now open up".

The tax proposal would likely hit the sales of digital companies, instead of profits, which the tech companies tend to bank in the most tax-friendly jurisdiction.

Faced with the difficulties of reaching an agreement within the OECD and even the EU, countries such as Britain, France and Spain have announced their intention to unilaterally tax the giants.

In Davos, Google vice president Ruth Porat supported the negotiations overseen by the Paris-based OECD, which groups advanced economies.

"We are very frank: we support the OECD initiative," she said.

In France, Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire had initially defended, without success, the adoption of a tax on digital giants at the European level.

Ireland, Denmark and Sweden have blocked the plan by the EU, while powerful Germany was lukewarm, fearing US retaliation against its car industry.

The annual business rendezvous in Davos is a hothouse of insider tech jargon, but this year's buzzword of "digital transformation" could translate into profound and painful changes for companies and workers.

Whether through robots, automation or artificial intelligence, the impact of the transformation is heaping pressure on governments, with employees worried about their livelihoods and futures.

"All these technical and non-technical companies... have a very big responsibility," Jean-Philippe Courtois, head of global sales at Microsoft, told AFP in an interview.

The spoils of the digital economy "must be redistributed to a larger mass of people", he said.

"This means a responsibility, for example, in education."

Tech companies such as Microsoft, Amazon Web Services, Google and IBM are raking in the profits of building that transformation as client firms shed staff in favour of automation and digitising data.

In a survey, corporate consultancy McKinsey found that just eight percent of companies believed their current business model would survive if their industry keeps digitising at current rates.

Companies "underestimate the increasing momentum of digitisation, the behavioural changes and technology driving it, and, perhaps most of all, the scale of the disruption bearing down on them", said the report in McKinsey Quarterly.

The examples of digital upheaval in the past few years have proliferated, perhaps especially in Europe, where corporate giants from Ford to Dutch bank ING have slashed payrolls.

Financial services "were primarily designed to serve people who were employed at a nine-to-five job by a single employer, oftentimes for their entire careers", said Bill Ready, chief operating officer at PayPal.

"But changes in the way money is earned must be accompanied by changes in the way money is paid and managed," he added, and that requires digital change.

- 'Supermarket of the future' -

Microsoft itself has already transitioned after its former cash cow, the Windows operating system, lost market share, turning instead to offering remote services in the computing "cloud".

At a pop-up cafe on the Davos Promenade, Microsoft employees showed interactive videos, calling them "stories", illustrating the small revolutions it says its artificial intelligence can deliver.

One featured "the supermarket of the future", including "digital shelves" that can show ads and change prices using a network of sensors. In one scene, a dropped carton of milk is automatically signalled to a clean-up crew.

Companies can buy this technology off the shelf, "but you also need to build your own digital core (and) as a result of that, you are going to become a digital company", Courtois said.

But in the urgent hunt to modernise, companies "have to be super clear about where you want to go".

Data remains at the core of this technology. It can now be collected and treated in innovative and -- for some -- frightening ways, including facial recognition.

But where some see a brave new world, others see chaos or disruption, with scenes of violence by taxi drivers against Uber, or city governments clamping down on Airbnb, worried for their hotel industry.

- 'Too late zone' -

This "fourth industrial revolution", another Davos catchphrase, "is moving faster than anyone expected", said World Economic Forum expert Murat Sonmez.

"Businesses and governments are falling behind in responding to this pace, continuously operating in the 'too late zone'," he said.

Governments say they are now ready to take on big tech, especially after the massive Facebook scandal that saw private data harvested for political gain by Cambridge Analytica.

In an address to the Davos forum on Wednesday, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said multilateral bodies such as the World Trade Organisation should gain oversight of cross-border data flows.

Prime Minister Shinzo Abe of Japan said his country would push for better oversight of data during its chairmanship of the G20 this year.

The European Union has led the way to impose greater limits on how companies can use data, with strict privacy rules known as the General Data Protection Regulation.

Microsoft's Courtois said that he fully backed GDPR and stressed that rules on technology should go even further.

"There is a crucial human element and we must discuss this with regulators ... to ensure that together we build a democratic, accessible and fair intelligence built for society," he said.


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