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US expert says Trump should pare Korea peace talks from nuclear issue
By Francesco FONTEMAGGI
Washington (AFP) Sept 16, 2018

Washington set to replace US military commander in S. Korea
Seoul (AFP) Sept 17, 2018 - Washington is set to replace the commander of US forces in South Korea amid a rapid diplomatic thaw on the peninsula, even as denuclearisation of the North stalls.

The US stations 28,500 troops in the South, a treaty ally, to defend it against its nuclear-armed neighbour, which invaded in 1950, triggering the Korean War.

General Robert B. Abrams, commander of the US Army Forces Command, will undergo a confirmation hearing next week to be head of US Forces Korea (USFK), the Senate Armed Services Committee's website showed.

If his nomination is approved, he will succeed General Vincent Brooks as commander of USFK, the UN Command and the South Korea-US Combined Forces Korea, who has been in the post since April 2016.

The outgoing commander has described his time in the South as "a rollercoaster ride", with the peninsula turning from the fears of war to a historic summit between US President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.

"We have gone from points of great tension and great danger to points of great opportunity and sometimes back and forth between those, never being completely certain about what will come the next day," Brooks told reporters in Seoul last month.

"So it's been quite a ride and a great honour to have been part of such a historic period of time," he added.

Abrams, whose father was a former Army Chief of Staff, General Creighton W. Abrams Jr., comes from a family of career military officers.

He has held various command and staff positions across the Army and Joint Community in Germany, the US and Southwest Asia during his 34 years of active service.

One of the top US experts on North Korea says President Donald Trump should agree to separating talks for a formal peace on the Korean peninsula from the issue of Pyongyang's denuclearization.

In an interview with AFP, Victor Cha, who was Trump's pick for a new ambassador to Seoul last year before the White House changed its mind, said Trump should get on board with the effort by North and South Korea to craft a declaration to end the 68-year official state of war between the two countries when their leaders meet in Pyongyang next week.

"The Chinese will probably support that," said Cha.

"That puts Trump in a very awkward position, because there are three other parties that want a peace declaration, and he's the one who wants the credit, for the Nobel prize."

Doing so would mean Trump backing off his demand that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un first take concrete steps toward giving up his nuclear weapons. But Trump should insist on something concrete in return, Cha said.

"The sequencing issue is not new," he said. "They want a peace declaration and lifting sanctions first, we want steps towards denuclearization first."

"We have to split up the negotiations."

- Demand demilitarization move by North -

Since Trump met with Kim in a groundbreaking summit in Singapore in early June, Washington has rolled together the two issues of denuclearization and an official end to the hostilities that began with the 1950-53 Korean War.

Since then there has been no sign of Pyongyang truly moving on denuclearization, says Cha, now head of Korean issues at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.

"We want a declaration (of nuclear facilities), we want verification, we want a timeline.... There is nothing that I've seen that shows North Korea wants to do any of those things."

If North and South Korea do move toward a peace declaration, Cha said, Trump should get something in return for his endorsement.

Cha says that could be a North Korean agreement to pull its artillery back from the heavily militarized border, from where it can easily strike densely populated Seoul.

"If we're going to do a peace declaration, we have to get something, something that's valuable," Cha said.

Trump "might be very tempted to do it, to follow them and then to take control of it, to say 'it was all my idea, this is all going really well,'" he said.

As for denuclearization, Cha is less optimistic that a strong deal can be achieved. Pyongyang wants the US to lift economic sanctions first, and so far is only willing to take modest measures like closing testing sites.

"It's not real denuclearization," said Cha.

He noted recent US intelligence reports that indicate Pyongyang is actually now making more fissile material and more weapons.

"The real question is can we get a good deal, one pretty comprehensive and that is verifiable? That's a much harder question to answer, because I don't think the North Koreans are interested in giving up their weapons."

Trump retains some leverage, he notes: Trump's agreeing to the summit brought Kim out on the world stage.

"Before he was an isolated leader, he was ignored, nobody cared about him," said Cha.

"Is he willing to make a deal because he doesn't wanna go back to being isolated? We don't know."


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NUKEWARS
Trump received Kim Jong Un letter seeking 2nd meet: WHouse
Washington (AFP) Sept 10, 2018
US President Donald Trump has received a "very positive" letter from North Korean leader Kim Jong Un seeking a follow-up meeting after their historic summit in Singapore, the White House said Monday. "It was a very warm, very positive letter," White House spokeswoman Sarah Sanders said, adding that the message showed Pyongyang's "continued commitment to focus on denuclearization" on the Korean Peninsula. "The primary purpose of the letter was to schedule another meeting with the president, whic ... read more

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