![]() |
|
Why oil prices are soaring despite record reserve release London, March 12 (AFP) Mar 12, 2026 Major economies have agreed to release a record amount of strategic oil reserves, but the move did little to calm investors Thursday, with prices at one point surging above $100 a barrel. Fresh Iranian strikes on energy infrastructure and fears of a prolonged conflict have overshadowed the historic drawdown. AFP explains why the release has not eased oil markets.
The IEA move was aimed at easing the immediate impact of the Middle East war on energy markets. The United States alone, the biggest consumer and producer of crude, will gradually supply 172 million barrels over three months, or 40 percent of its current reserves. But analysts said the move is too small to offset the disruption triggered by American-Israeli attacks against Iran on February 28. The release falls "far short of the supply losses we are seeing from the Persian Gulf", noted commodities strategists at ING bank. According to the IEA, daily global crude production is down at least 8.0 million barrels, with an additional 2.0 million related to petroleum products shut off. "It seems unlikely that the flow of reserves can make up for the lost flow of production," said Neil Wilson, a strategist at Saxo UK investor. "This is a temporary and limited solution -- the key is to reopen the Strait of Hormuz" which borders Iran and under normal circumstances allows for the passing of about one fifth of the world's crude.
The IEA on Thursday warned that the war "is creating the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market". Retaliatory missiles and drone attacks have brought shipping through the Strait of Hormuz almost to a halt. Energy infrastructure across the region has also been targeted. Bahrain said an Iranian attack hit fuel tanks in Muharraq on Thursday, while drones struck fuel tanks at Oman's Salalah port. Saudi Arabia said it had intercepted two drones heading towards its Shaybah oil field. Oil giants in the Gulf have meanwhile had to reduce their production owing to a lack of storage capacity.
While US President Donald Trump has said the war could end "soon", Iran has warned it could wage a long conflict that would "destroy" the world economy. "From a market perspective, the problem is that investors are increasingly pricing in a more protracted conflict that causes extensive economic damage," said Deutsche Bank analyst Jim Reid. The IEA warned that there were "no signs of a de-escalation in hostilities or a clear timeline for a recovery in flows through the Strait". |
|
|
|
All rights reserved. Copyright Agence France-Presse. Sections of the information displayed on this page (dispatches, photographs, logos) are protected by intellectual property rights owned by Agence France-Presse. As a consequence, you may not copy, reproduce, modify, transmit, publish, display or in any way commercially exploit any of the content of this section without the prior written consent of Agence France-Presse.
|