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China says war over Iran will bring disaster
by Staff Writers
Beijing (AFP) Jan 10, 2012

Russia voices 'worry' over Iran's new nuclear plant
Moscow (AFP) Jan 10, 2012 - Russia voiced its concern Tuesday at the announcement that Iran had begun uranium enrichment at a new nuclear plant, a move that has triggered alarm in the West.

"Moscow has with regret and worry received the news of the start of work on enriching uranium at the Iranian plant," the foreign ministry said in a statement published on its website.

The International Atomic Energy Agency confirmed Monday that Iran had begun enriching uranium at the Fordo underground bunker southwest of Tehran, a move Western powers have branded a violation of UN Security Council resolutions.

"We have to note that Iran continues to ignore the demands of the international community on removing the anxiety over its nuclear programme," the Russian foreign ministry said.

However it hailed Iran for notifying the IAEA and said that "all the nuclear material there is under the control of the agency".

Russia called for all sides in the long-running dispute to "refrain from premature, hasty steps," that could prevent the revival of talks between Iran and the group of six world powers, including Russia.

Russia also urged Tehran that it needed "close cooperation" with the IAEA and called for "the soonest possible start of talks on the Iranian nuclear programme with the six without any preliminary conditions".

It reiterated Russia's call for the standoff to be resolved "only through talks".

Russian President Dmitry Medvedev spoke to his Iranian counterpart Mahmoud Ahmadinejad by phone last week, with the Kremlin issuing a brief statement saying that Tehran backed Moscow's stance on resolving the dispute diplomatically.

The European Union has announced plans to join the United States in ramping up sanctions on Iran over its nuclear programme, which the West believes masks a drive to develop an atomic weapons capability.

Russia has relatively close ties with Iran and has built its first nuclear power station in the southern city of Bushehr. Moscow has also delivered the nuclear fuel for the reactor.

Moscow has echoed Western concerns about the nature of Iran's nuclear drive but has stopped short of publicly accusing Tehran of seeking atomic weapons and has always said that the standoff should be solved by diplomacy.


A top Chinese diplomat said Tuesday war over the Iranian nuclear issue would bring disaster to the world economy and urged all nations involved to exercise restraint and prevent hostilities.

The remarks by Chen Xiaodong, a top Chinese diplomat on Middle Eastern affairs, came as Iran's showdown with the West slid closer to confrontation as alarm over its new uranium enrichment plant and Tehran's death sentence for a "CIA spy" raised the stakes.

"We urge all relevant nations to remain calm, exercise restraint, refrain from taking actions that will intensify the situation and make common efforts to prevent war," Chen said in an online interview with state media.

"Everyone knows that 40 percent of the oil shipped daily to every part of the world goes through the Strait of Hormuz, so once war starts in this region not only will the relevant nations be affected and attacked, it would also ... bring disaster to a world economy deep in crisis."

The International Atomic Energy Agency's confirmation on Monday that Iran had begun enriching uranium in a new, underground bunker southwest of Tehran was seized upon by the United States, Britain, France and Germany as an unacceptable "violation" of UN Security Council resolutions.

On Monday, a Revolutionary Court in Tehran sentenced an American former Marine, Amir Mirzai Hekmati, to death after convicting him of being a CIA spy.

The United States has called for the release of Hekmati, 28, who also holds Iranian nationality through his family who settled in the United States before his birth.

Chen's statement comes as US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner arrived in Beijing for talks expected to be focused on a new set of sanctions imposed by the United States on Iran late last year.

Energy-hungry China -- which relies on Iran for 11 percent of its imported oil supplies -- has repeatedly said sanctions will not resolve the nuclear issue and urged all sides to seek a diplomatic solution through dialogue.

Geithner in China for Iran sanctions talks
Beijing (AFP) Jan 10, 2012 - US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner arrived in Beijing on Tuesday for talks focused on sanctions against Tehran as China warned of disastrous consequences if the Iranian nuclear row escalated.

The sanctions, signed into law by President Barack Obama on December 31, intend to put further pressure on Iran, which Washington accuses of pursuing atomic weapons -- a claim denied by Tehran.

Geithner is expected to encounter stiff opposition in Beijing as Iran's showdown with the West slid closer to confrontation over its new uranium enrichment plant and Tehran's death sentence for a "CIA spy" raised the stakes.

"We urge all relevant nations to remain calm, exercise restraint, refrain from taking actions that will intensify the situation and make common efforts to prevent war," Chen Xiaodong, a top Chinese diplomat on Middle East affairs said in an online interview with the state press.

"Everyone knows that 40 percent of the oil shipped daily to every part of the world goes through the Strait of Hormuz, so once war starts in this region not only will the relevant nations be affected and attacked, it would also ... bring disaster to a world economy deep in crisis."

Chen reiterated China's rejection of the sanctions, which bar any foreign banks that do business with Iran's central bank -- responsible for processing most oil purchases in the Islamic republic -- from US financial markets.

Geithner will meet top Chinese leaders including Premier Wen Jiabao on Wednesday before heading on to Tokyo on Thursday, according to the US Treasury.

He will discuss "continued coordination with international partners in the region to increase pressure on the government of Iran, including financial measures targeting the central bank of Iran," it said in a statement.

The visit comes a day after the UN atomic watchdog said Iran had begun enriching uranium to up to 20 percent at a new plant in a fortified bunker sunk into a mountain, prompting alarm from Western powers.

But energy-hungry China -- which relies on Iran for 11 percent of its imported oil supplies -- has repeatedly said sanctions will not resolve the nuclear issue.

"If you look at it (new law) purely from the letter of the law, it really puts the US and China on a collision course," said Patrick Chovanec, associate professor at Beijing's Tsinghua University.

He said Geithner would use the visit to try to iron out differences with Beijing, which would prove a tough task.

"From a broader strategic perspective, China is very unlikely to accept the US dictating who they can buy oil from and under what conditions," he said.

An editorial published Tuesday in the state-run Global Times daily, known for its nationalist stance, said China should continue trading with Iran "despite pressure from the US and European countries."

"If Chinese companies are sanctioned by the US due to their legal trade with Iran, China should take countermeasures," the paper said.

Jia Qingguo, a professor at Peking University's American Studies Center, said China was still waiting to see whether the United States had "conclusive evidence" that Iran is developing nuclear weapons.

"If the United States asks other countries to impose joint sanctions against Iran only because it has tense ties with Iran, that's not reasonable," he said.

International sanctions, meanwhile, have left resource-poor Japan searching for alternative supplies, officials say, as Tokyo tries to respond to US and EU concerns over Iran.

Japan is heavily dependent on the Middle East for its energy, with Iranian oil accounting for nearly nine percent of its power needs in the first 11 months of 2011 -- an issue that Geithner is expected to discuss with Japanese leaders.

The treasury secretary will hold talks with Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda and Finance Minister Jun Azumi in Tokyo on Thursday.

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Israel preparing for nuclear Iran: report
London (AFP) Jan 9, 2012 - Israel is preparing for Iran to become a nuclear power and has accepted it may happen within a year, the London Times reported on Monday citing an Israeli security report.

The Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) think-tank prepared scenarios for the day after an Iranian nuclear weapons test at the request of former Israeli ambassadors, intelligence officials and ex-military chiefs, the paper reported.

Israel has so far maintained it will do all within its power to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear capabilities, but has shifted its position following recent United Nations' reports, according to the Times.

The UN atomic agency said Monday that Iran is now enriching uranium at a new site in a hard-to-bomb mountain bunker, in a move set to stoke Western suspicions further that Tehran wants nuclear weapons.

INSS specialists including a former head of Israel's National Security Council and two former members of the prime minister's office conducted the simulation study in Tel Aviv last week.

If Iran does test a nuclear weapon, INSS predicts a profound shift in the Middle East power balance.

According to extracts of the report seen by the British publication, experts believe the US would propose a defence pact with Israel, but would urge it not to retaliate.

Russia would seek an alliance with the US to prevent nuclear proliferation in the region, although Saudi Arabia would likely pursue its own nuclear programme, the report concluded based on current policies.

INSS specialists believe that an Iranian test in January 2013 would follow increasingly provocative demands by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's regime, including the redrawing of its Iraqi borders and action against the vessels of the US Fifth Fleet.

"The simulation showed that Iran will not forgo nuclear weapons, but will attempt to use them to reach an agreement with the major powers that will improve its position," said a passage of the report published by the Times.

"The simulation showed that (the Israeli military option), or the threat of using it, would also be relevant following an Iranian nuclear test," it added.

Israel condemned intelligence chief Meir Dagan last June after he speculated that Iran may obtain nuclear weaponry.

Conclusions from the simulation have been sent to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Times reported.

Iran, which insists its nuclear programme is for exclusively peaceful purposes, has repeatedly said it will not abandon uranium enrichment despite four rounds of UN Security Council resolutions calling on Tehran to desist.

While nuclear energy plants need fuel enriched to 3.5 percent, Iran says the 20-percent enriched uranium is necessary for its Tehran research reactor to make isotopes to treat cancers.



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