. Military Space News .
Lebanon On A Tinderbox

Beirut, Lebanon, during the recent Israel/Lebanon conflict. Photo courtesy of AFP.
by Claude Salhani
UPI International Editor
Beirut, Lebanon (UPI) Nov 16, 2006
Lebanon is a relatively small country, approximately the size of Rhode Island. Yet, it comes with problems larger than Texas. After years of relative calm and prosperity that followed a devastating 15-year civil war, Lebanon finds itself once again sitting on a tinderbox with a very short fuse. And there seems to be no shortage of instigators only too happy to strike that first match that would make Lebanon go up in smoke.

The latest political spat tearing apart the country's opposing politico-religious groups arose over the issue of whether to proceed, or not to proceed, with an international tribunal empowered to judge suspects implicated in the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. Hariri, along with some 20 people, were killed on Feb. 14, 2005, when a powerful bomb was detonated as his convoy drove past in the downtown area Hariri had rebuilt and in which he took great pride.

The murder of Hariri occurred not long after he confronted Syrian President Bashar Assad, and spoke out against Syrian interference in Lebanese affairs. Part of the disagreement between Hariri and Assad was over Syria's proposal to amend the Lebanese constitution and allow President Emile Lahoud to run another half term. After Hariri's murder many accusing fingers immediately pointed towards the Syrian capital.

The Lebanese government headed by current Prime Minister Fouad Siniora, a Hariri loyalist, would like to see the tribunal established, the trial move forward and those found guilty brought to justice. Better make that the Lebanese government minus the country's pro-Syrian president, Emile Lahoud. And less a handful of pro-Syrian Cabinet ministers, mainly from the Shiite Hezbollah bloc and their co-religionist colleagues from Amal.

"Lebanon's problem is that we live in a bad neighborhood," a former Lebanese ambassador to Washington likes to say half-jokingly. But a Lebanese journalist takes it one step further. "We are the bad neighborhood. We have become the bad neighborhood," he said while dining in one of Beirut's finer restaurants.

But one should not be fooled by appearances. Lebanon, being Lebanon, the fine dining and good wines are still readily available and reservations for a table in a popular upscale restaurant is a must, political tension prevailing or not. Whereas in the past, in times of crises one could feel the tension; now, the tension in the Lebanese capital is practically visible.

Lebanon and the Lebanese have always been very skillful in adapting to extraneous circumstances. Living in the bad neighborhood -- or, as is more likely the case this time around, being the bad neighborhood -- is just one of those circumstances you have to deal with when you are a small country, size-wise, surrounded by far bigger or more powerful states, some of which do not hold your best interests in mind. It's the law of the jungle.

Following the resignation of the Shiite government ministers, Syria's allies declared that Siniora's government was now "illegitimate" and could not pass the ruling on the tribunal. President Lahoud conveyed a message to Annan stressing that the plan to establish the tribunal had not received his approval. Therefore, said the president, the ruling was "invalid," "null and void," and "non-existent."

Not so, replied the prime minister, basing his arguments on the Lebanese constitution.

Lahoud, whose presidential term was extended through direct Syrian intervention, called the Cabinet session that gave the green light to the tribunal, "illegitimate," given the absence of six pro-Syrian members of the Cabinet. "The president has the sole authority to lead negotiations on international treaties and to ratify them in coordination with the prime minister," said Lahoud.

Meanwhile, at the United Nations, Secretary-General Kofi Annan said he plans to present to the Security Council within the next 24 hours a plan authorizing a special court to try the suspects implicated in the assassination of Lebanon's former prime minister.

In New York, U.N. spokesman Stephane Dujarric indicated the United Nations is "moving ahead with the process." The project will most certainly pass.

Washington has also weighed in on the issue, calling for quick Security Council action to approve the plan. The U.N. commission established to probe into the murder of Hariri and 14 other prominent Lebanese politicians and journalists found a number of senior Lebanese and Syrian security officials implicated in what appears to be a far-reaching conspiracy. Syrian officials, including President Bashar Assad, have denied any involvement in the killings.

Plots, counter-plots, assassinations and politics on a scale that would make Machiavelli's prince shudder with apprehension. Throw in Hezbollah's threats to take their grievances to the streets, a very dangerous endeavor given that it could be the spark that ignites the tinderbox.

As the former ambassador in Washington so aptly said, "We live in a bad neighborhood." I am sure he was not referring to his posh Embassy Row residence.

Source: United Press International

Related Links
Your World At War

Israel Prepares For Another War
Tel Aviv (UPI) Nov 07, 2006
The engine of the Lebanese army truck groaned as its driver engaged the muddy track along the border with Israel. At the Israeli army post Nurit, overlooking the route, a cameraman waved. The response was an insulting Middle Eastern gesture. The message was not significant. The messenger was. For some 30 years the Lebanese Army avoided venturing to the border area, leaving it to Palestinian militants, then to Hezbollah.







  • Russia Prioritizes Strategic Forces On Security Agenda
  • US Commander Meets Chinese Officials Ahead Of Military Drill
  • Use Of Force Dominating International Relations Says Putin
  • Russian US Relations Will Continue Deteriorating

  • Rice Demands 'Concrete Step Forward' On North Korea Nuclear Talks
  • India PM Discusses Nuclear Deal With US President Bush
  • Russia To Buy 17 ICBMs In 2007
  • Russian Nuclear Strategy: In Search Of Amendments

  • Pakistan Fires Nuclear-Capable Missile
  • LM Compact Kinetic Energy Missile Tested Against Armor Target
  • Lean Principles Contribute To Missile Success
  • LM Compact Kinetic Energy Missile Flight Test Against Armor Target

  • The Democrat Approach To BMD
  • US Ballistic Missile Defense Spending May Double
  • ATK To Build SRMD Motor For Short Range Interceptor
  • Raytheon Selects ATK For Stunner Interceptor Booster Motor Development

  • Aviation Industry Alarmed At New EU Emission Rules
  • Technologies Evaluated For The Future National Airspace System
  • Silent Aircraft Readies For Take-Off
  • Global Aviation Industry Gathers For Key Chinese Air Show

  • Boeing ScanEagle Achieves Major Flight Milestones
  • World's Operators Of The Northrop Grumman E-2 Hawkeye Gather For Annual Conference
  • Westar to Provide Software Engineering, Technical Support Services to Army's UAS Program
  • Cubic Receives Subcontract To Develop Data Link Rq-7B Shadow 200 Tactical UAS

  • US Military Plans To Boost Iraqi Forces With More Advisers
  • Gates To Follow Clark Clifford's Footsteps
  • Bush In Hanoi: Vietnamese Lessons For Iraq
  • Gates Will Change US Strategy

  • Air Force Declassifies Elite Aggressor Program
  • Raytheon Awarded $113 Million Contract For U-2 Systems Field Support
  • Air Force Selects Developer For Combat Search And Rescue Replacement Vehicle
  • Teledyne Awarded Army Contract For Third Generation Infrared Imaging Sensors

  • The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2006 - SpaceDaily.AFP and UPI Wire Stories are copyright Agence France-Presse and United Press International. ESA PortalReports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additionalcopyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by SpaceDaily on any Web page published or hosted by SpaceDaily. Privacy Statement