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NUKEWARS
Long silence in North Korea after rocket failure
by Staff Writers
Pyongyang (AFP) April 13, 2012

Seoul watching for N. Korean acts 'such as nuclear test'
Seoul (AFP) April 13, 2012 - South Korea is closely watching North Korea for further provocative acts such as more missile tests or a third nuclear test after the North's rocket launch failed, its defence ministry said Friday.

"We are keeping a close watch over the North for further provocative acts such as missile tests and a nuclear test," the ministry said in a statement.

A South Korean official said on Sunday that North Korea appeared to be preparing for a third nuclear test after Friday's long-range rocket launch.

Preparations are under way in the northeastern town of Punggye-ri, where the North carried out two previous tests of a nuclear bomb in 2006 and 2009, the official told AFP on condition of anonymity.

The North, believed to have enough plutonium for six to eight bombs, tested atomic weapons in October 2006 and May 2009. Both were held one to three months after missile tests.

N. Korea says satellite 'failed to enter orbit'
Seoul, South Korea (AFP) April 13, 2012 - North Korea said Friday its satellite had failed to enter its preset orbit, as the launch sparked international condemnation.

"The earth observation satellite failed to enter its preset orbit. Scientists, technicians and experts are now looking into the cause of the failure," the North's official news agency said without elaborating.

The North's admission of failure marked a departure from its past. It has insisted that two previous attempts in 1998 and 2009 to put satellites into orbit succeeded even though both clearly failed.

The rocket exploded mid-air about one or two minutes after its launch Friday morning from the northwestern county of Tongchang-ri, splashing down in the Yellow Sea off South Korea, Seoul's defence ministry said.

"Differently from the past launches, the North will find it very difficult to insist the launch was a success as the rocket failed too soon after blastoff and its trajectory was fully exposed to the South and other countries," Korea University political science professor Yoo Ho-Yeol told AFP.

The North claimed it was a peaceful space project but countries including the United States and South Korea said it was a disguised long-range ballistic missile test banned under UN resolutions.


News of North Korea's abortive rocket launch was flashed around the world Friday but there were four long hours of silence before Pyongyang admitted the highly publicised attempt had failed.

"The earth observation satellite failed to enter its preset orbit. Scientists, technicians and experts are now looking into the cause of the failure," the KCNA official news agency finally said in a terse report.

But there was still no word from officials on the ground for scores of foreign journalists invited by the normally secretive state to witness what was touted as a historic occasion.

The United States and many other nations have condemned the launch as a pretext for testing banned ballistic missile technology.

But the nuclear-armed North, which normally tightly restricts media visits, threw its doors open to emphasise what it called its peaceful intentions in space.

Last Sunday it gave many of them an unprecedented visit to the Tongchang-ri space centre in the country's northwest, where they saw the satellite and the Unha-3 rocket.

On Wednesday they were treated to another ground-breaking visit to the mission control centre in a suburb north of the capital.

During both visits, local media filmed and photographed the journalists.

State television station KRT has frequently broadcast those images, with a commentary saying the foreign reporters were convinced that North Korea would carry out a civilian satellite launch.

But blast-off, first reported by South Korean news outlets, took journalists billeted at Pyongyang's luxury Yanggakdo International Hotel by surprise.

At a specially outfitted media centre in a circular conference room, TV crews and cameramen had set up about a dozen tripods facing a huge white screen which was installed Thursday.

But the centre was almost empty when the news broke from Seoul, and the screen remained blank.

The launch was to have been the centrepiece of mass celebrations marking the 100th anniversary on Sunday of the birth of founding leader Kim Il-Sung.

The impoverished nation, which suffers persistent food and electricity shortages, spent hundreds of millions of dollars on the launch, according to South Korean officials.

The luxury hotel on an island in the Taedong River contrasts with the utilitarian concrete apartment blocks which make up much of the city.

A restaurant on the 47th floor offers a panoramic night-time view -- of a largely darkened metropolis.

In a nation whose leaders are shrouded in a personality cult, the hotel bookshop offers only the works of Kim Il-Sung and his successor Kim Jong-Il, textbooks on the Kimjongilia national flower and similar laudatory material.

Launch failures may be embarrassing, but they are not uncommon even for wealthy and technologically advanced nations.

Christian Lardier, space editor at France's Air and Cosmos magazine, estimated there were an average 75 satellite launch attempts every year worldwide.

Each year there were four or five failures, he told AFP in Pyongyang.

But the North, other analysts said, was likely to be chastened by the failure given its extensive publicity build-up.

"Obviously the rocket launch is pretty embarrassing for Kim Jung-Un and North Korea," said Tate Nurkin, managing director at leading defence publication IHS Jane's.

Kim Jong-Un, grandson of Kim Il-Sung, is working to bolster his authority after taking over power when his own father Kim Jong-Il died last December.

Given the advance publicity "it is hard to imagine a greater humiliation", wrote North Korea expert Marcus Noland on the blog of the Peterson Institute for International Economics.

"Some of the scientists and engineers associated with the launch are likely facing death or the gulag as scapegoats for this embarrassment."

Republicans lash Obama over N. Korea launch
Washington (AFP) April 12, 2012 - US Republicans condemned North Korea's botched rocket launch on Thursday and blamed Democratic President Barack Obama for having sought to "appease" Pyongyang with a food aid deal.

Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney portrayed the launch of the long-range rocket as a failure of foreign policy, widely seen as the area where Obama is strongest going into November's presidential election.

"I condemn in the strongest possible terms the attempted North Korean missile launch," Romney said in a statement after news of the launch, which Washington, Seoul and Tokyo said appeared to have failed.

"Although the missile test failed, Pyongyang's action is another blatant violation of unanimous UN Security Council resolutions and demonstrates once again that Pyongyang is committed to developing long-range missiles with the potential of carrying nuclear weapons."

Romney said the weapons program "poses a clear and growing threat to the United States, one for which President Obama has no effective response."

"Instead of approaching Pyongyang from a position of strength, President Obama sought to appease the regime with a food-aid deal that proved to be as naive as it was short-lived."

Republican Representative Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, head of the powerful House Foreign Affairs committee, also condemned the launch as betraying North Korea's "hostile intentions" and took aim at the food aid program.

"This launch, taking place weeks after the (Obama) administration secured a promise' from Pyongyang to suspend missile tests in exchange for food aid, illustrates once again that trying to negotiate with the regime is a fool's errand," she said in a statement.

"Rather than working towards the next doomed agreement with North Korea, or other rogue regimes, the United States must impose stronger penalties and pressure on those who threaten global security."

The US scheme to send food aid to the nuclear-armed North's impoverished population was suspended after the North's announcement that it would launch the rocket, which Washington said proved Pyongyang could not be trusted.

North Korea has said the rocket would place a satellite in orbit for peaceful research purposes, but Western critics see the launch as a thinly veiled ballistic missile test, banned by United Nations resolutions.

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Facts on N. Korea's missile programme
Seoul (AFP) April 13, 2012 - North Korea, which admitted its long-range rocket launch failed Friday, has been developing missiles for decades both for what it terms self-defence and as a lucrative export commodity.

It had said the launch was to put a satellite in orbit to collect data on forests and natural resources within its territory.

The United States and its allies swiftly condemned what they said was a disguised test of ballistic missile technology in defiance of UN resolutions.

The North began its programme in the late 1970s or early 1980s, when it started working on a version of the Soviet Scud-B with a range of 300 kilometres (around 185 miles).

Between 1987 and 1992 it began developing a variant of the Scud-C (range 500 kilometres), as well as the Rodong-1 (1,300 kilometres), the Taepodong-1 (2,500 kilometres), the Musudan-1 (3,000 kilometres) and the Taepodong-2 (6,700 kilometres).

The Scud-B, Scud-C and Rodong-1 have all been tested successfully.

The first and only Taepodong-1 launch took place in August 1998 over Japan. It sparked alarm in Tokyo but the third stage apparently exploded before it could place a small satellite into orbit.

In September 1999, amid improving relations with the United States, North Korea declared a moratorium on long-range missile testing. It ended this in March 2005, blaming Washington's "hostile" policy.

The Taepodong-2 was first fired on July 5, 2006 but blew up after 40 seconds.

On April 5, 2009, the North fired a long-range rocket dubbed Unha-2 (Galaxy-2) -- an advanced three-stage variant of the Taepodong-2 -- to put a satellite into orbit.

Experts said the third stage may have separated from the second but apparently failed to ignite.

Japanese reports said the second stage splashed down in the Pacific 3,200 kilometres from the launch site, and the third stage plus satellite fell nearby.

Unha-2 is 30 metres (100 feet) tall and weighs 80-85 tonnes, according to a 2009 analysis by scientists David Wright and Theodore Postol.

Writing in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, they termed it a "significant advance" on previous launchers and said a modified version could reach the continental United States.

They said the third stage had a strong similarity to Iran's Safir-2 rocket, suggesting collaboration between the two countries.

The Unha-3 rocket, which the North said was to put the Kwangmyongsong-3 satellite into orbit, exploded shortly after its launch Friday from a newly built space centre in the northwest of the country, splashing down in the Yellow Sea off South Korea.

South Korea said it was watching for further missile tests or a third nuclear test following the rocket failure.

The North is thought to have enough plutonium for six to eight small bombs. But it is unclear whether it has mastered the technology to build a nuclear warhead.

It is thought to have sold hundreds of ballistic missiles to Iran, Iraq, Syria, Pakistan and other countries over the previous decade to earn foreign currency, according to a US Congressional Research Service report in 2007.

Leaving aside the longest-range missiles, the main security threat is seen as coming from around 800 road-mobile missiles.

Of these, about 600 are Scuds capable of hitting targets in South Korea, and possibly Japanese territory in some cases. There are another 200 Rodong-1 missiles that could reach Tokyo.



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NUKEWARS
N. Korea blasts rocket, Japan says launch failed
Seoul (AFP) April 13, 2012
North Korea on Friday launched a long-range rocket which appeared to have failed and fallen into the ocean, South Korean and Japanese authorities said. South Korea's defence ministry said the rocket was launched at 07:39 am (2239 GMT Thursday). "It seems that the rocket has failed," ministry spokesman Kim Min-Seok told journalists. "But we need more analysis for confirmation," he sa ... read more


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