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NUKEWARS
Slaying of scientist inflames gulf tension
by Staff Writers
Dubai, United Arab Emirates (UPI) Jan 11, 2012

disclaimer: image is for illustration purposes only

The assassination of an Iranian nuclear scientist in Tehran, allegedly by Israel's Mossad intelligence service, has supercharged tensions in the Persian Gulf where Iran is threatening to close the strategic Strait of Hormuz, a key oil artery.

At the same time, the leading French newspaper Le Figaro reported the Mossad is training Iranian dissidents in Iraqi Kurdistan to carry out bombings inside Iran to destabilize the country.

The Mossad has long operated in that region and has supported Kurdish rebels who fought the Baathist government in Baghdad since the 1970s.

There was no suggestion it was Israeli-trained Iranians who were behind Wednesday's assassination in Tehran.

But the slaying of the scientist, identified by the semiofficial Fars news agency as Mostafa Ahmadi-Roshan, 32, bore a striking resemblance to the assassination of several other nuclear scientists over the last two years.

Ahmadi-Roshan, who reportedly headed a department at the Natanz uranium enrichment facility in Isfahan province, central Iran, was killed when a motorcyclist attached a magnetic bomb to his car as he drove through the Iranian capital.

At least two other scientists were killed in similar attacks in 2010-11 by assassins riding motorcycles. A third was shot dead by two gunmen firing from motorcycles in July 2011.

All those killings were blamed on the Mossad, which reportedly unleashed a campaign of assassination and sabotage against Iran's contentious nuclear program eight years ago under Director Meir Dagan, a former army general notorious for deadly clandestine operations since the 1970s.

All told, at least four scientists linked to Tehran's nuclear program, which the West alleges masks a drive to develop nuclear weapons, have been murdered since 2007.

Wednesday's attack will incense Iran's leadership amid an escalation in the confrontation in the gulf as the West tightens economic sanctions against the Islamic Republic.

These were imposed by the U.N. Security Council in June 2010 over Tehran's refusal to halt uranium enrichment, the core of the process involved in developing nuclear weapons. Iran says its program is aimed at producing nuclear power.

Iran has threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz if the United States and the European Union target the republic's central bank, which handles oil transactions, and thus threaten the country's vital oil exports.

Sealing off the 112-mile waterway at the southern end of the gulf would cut off at least 20 percent of the world's oil supplies. That would send oil prices skyrocketing and trigger a global economic slump.

U.S. President Barack Obama approved sanctions against the central bank Dec. 25. The EU is expected to do so Jan. 30. This has sent Iran's currency spiraling downward, dramatically heightening the impact of the sanctions.

Many analysts say that leaves the Iranian leadership with little room for maneuver amid fears Israel will launch pre-emptive strikes and Obama, running for re-election in November, may be inclined to take military action himself.

"If a breakthrough in negotiations fails to materialize, the likelihood of an explosion of violence increases," observed Israel-based analyst Victor Kotzev.

With Iranian and U.S. forces in the region, particularly the U.S. 5th Fleet based in Bahrain, on alert and engaged in provocative, muscle-flexing exercises the tension grows daily.

"Even a fairly minor incident could trigger a major confrontation," Kotzev noted in a Jan. 4 analysis.

He argued that with the Iranian leadership increasingly squeezed into a corner, "this makes war an attractive option for them. In some ways, an American or Israeli attack would be a political blessing to them as it would rally domestic support."

Some Western observers write off the Iranian threat to Hormuz as little more than bluff and bluster, since Iran's oil exports would be cut off with those of the gulf's Arab producers.

Russia and China have stood by Iran throughout the crisis. But China, along with Iran's other major oil customers in Asia, like India, appear to fear the worst and are seeking alternative sources of supply.

Russia, too, seems to be backing off. In a gravely worded announcement Tuesday, Moscow expressed "regret" at Tehran's decision to activate a new uranium enrichment plant near Qom, south of Tehran.

The Russians made clear they feel Iran would have itself to blame if trouble comes its way and urged Tehran to commence "serious negotiations … without preconditions."

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Iran seeks S. America support over crisis
Managua, Nicaragua (UPI) Jan 11, 2012 - Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad won support from Latin America's left-wing populist leaders in Venezuela and Nicaragua as he set off for talks in Havana with Cuban President Raul Castro and conclusive meetings in Ecuador.

The Iranian leader's scheduled tour of Latin America, reciprocating various visits to Iran by regional leaders, coincided with mounting tensions in the Persian Gulf and raised speculation it might aim to garner support against U.N., U.S. and European sanctions on the country.

EU leaders will meet later this month to consider whether to stop buying oil from Iran. Tehran has warned new sanctions will prompt it to close the Strait of Hormuz waterway to oil shipping, including much of its own. Iran faces further curbs on the payments systems it uses for selling crude oil abroad, an area increasingly targeted in sanctions.

Despite effusive expressions of support from longtime radical friends, Ahmadinejad is missing key support he received earlier from Brazil, not included on his itinerary this time. Brazil's former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva was more forthcoming in support to Iran and criticism of the West over Iran's nuclear program than his successor, President Dilma Rousseff.

Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega, speaking in Managua after meeting Ahmadinejad, called for a Middle East free of nuclear weapons and branded Israel's nuclear program the main threat to the region's peace and stability.

He defended Iran's nuclear program.

"Every country has the right to use peaceful nuclear energy and no one can deprive any nation of this right," Ortega said.

Ecuador's Foreign Minister Ricardo Patino, quoted in the media, also called for respect for "Iran's right for the peaceful use of nuclear energy."

Earlier in Caracas, Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez and Ahmadinejad joined in issuing a condemnation of the United States and U.S. allies for using the controversy over Iran's enrichment of uranium to unjustly threaten Iran.

"They accuse us of being warmongers," Chavez said. "They're the threat." Chavez earlier said accusations of Iran developing nuclear weapons were false in the same way reports of weapons of mass destruction were used to attack Iraq.

So far Venezuela is the only Latin American country to be directly penalized for links with Iran, which is operating an extensive housing development program in Venezuela.

Venezuela's state-owned Petroleos de Venezuela S.A. fell foul of U.S. sanctions against Iran for supplying oil products to the country.

Venezuela and Ecuador are Iran's allies in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.



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NUKEWARS
Iran accuses Israel, US of killing nuclear scientist
Tehran (AFP) Jan 11, 2012
An Iranian nuclear scientist was killed by a car bomb on Wednesday that Tehran immediately blamed on Israel and Washington, worsening a tense international stand-off over its atomic programme. The White House denied any involvement. Iranian Vice President Mohammad Reza Rahimi told state television the murder of Mostafa Ahmadi Roshan would not stop Iran making "progress" in its nuclear ac ... read more


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