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POLITICAL ECONOMY
China home prices largely down in February
by Staff Writers
Beijing (AFP) March 18, 2012


Home prices in nearly two thirds of China's major cities fell in February from the previous month, the government said Sunday, as moves to cool the red-hot property market continue to bite.

Of the 70 large and mid-sized cities tracked by the government, 45 saw new home prices fall month-on-month, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said in a statement, down from 48 in January.

Prices in a further 21 cities were stable and just four cities experienced price rises, it added.

Beijing has introduced a range of measures aimed at curbing runaway property prices over the past year, such as bans on buying second homes, hiking minimum down-payments and introducing property taxes in select cities.

But analysts now worry that slumping home prices could hurt growth in the world's second-largest economy, which is already forecast to slow this year from 9.2 percent growth in 2011.

The government, however, has said it has no plans so far to relax policy restrictions aimed at cooling the market.

"China's property prices will likely continue their downward trend, likely going into the second half of 2012 and until policies are altered," property analysts EC Harris said in a research note.

"Even if there are concerns on the economic slowdown in China, we expect the... Chinese leadership to maintain its tightening measures at least until the latter parts of 2012."

According to the NBS, prices of newly built homes fell in February on a year-on-year basis in 27 of the 70 cities surveyed -- higher than the 15 cities that recorded price drops in January.

Property developers have been hit hard by the tightening policies and a lack of funds after the government hiked interest rates and restricted bank lending to rein in surging inflation and cool real estate prices.

In February, China moved to ease restrictions on lending by trimming bank reserve requirements, but the property industry is waiting to see if the government might relax measures aimed specifically at the sector.

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Asian nations to double currency swap deal: report
Tokyo (AFP) March 18, 2012 - Japan and 12 other Asian countries will likely agree to double the amount of funds available under a regional currency swap pact amid uncertainty over the European debt crisis, a report said Sunday.

Japan, China, South Korea and the 10 members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) are to agree to double the fund from the current $120 billion this month, Japan's Nikkei daily reported, citing unnamed sources.

The currency swap deal, known as the Chiang Mai Initiative, is designed to prevent a financial crisis in countries with relatively small foreign exchange reserves by giving them a safety net against future liquidity shortages.

Currently, up to 20 percent of the $120 billion in available funds can be used without linkage to loans by the International Monetary Fund.

The so-called ASEAN+3 countries are also expected to agree to raise this percentage significantly to prevent the European debt crisis from causing major damage in Asia, the Nikkei said.

The countries are expected to reach a broad agreement on strengthening the functions of the Chiang Mai Initiative at a meeting of senior finance officials in Cambodia at the end of this month, it said.

The agreement is expected to be finalised in May at a meeting of finance ministers and central bank governors from the ASEAN+3 countries, it said.



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POLITICAL ECONOMY
IMF chief cautiously upbeat on global economy
Beijing (AFP) March 18, 2012
IMF chief Christine Lagarde said Sunday measures taken to fight financial woes in Europe and the US were starting to pay off, in a cautiously upbeat assessment of the global economy. But Lagarde - in Beijing for a two-day trip to attend a high profile forum on China's development and hold meetings with her economic counterparts - also warned that "major" vulnerabilities still remained. ... read more


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