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POLITICAL ECONOMY
Fed slashes US economic outlook
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) June 22, 2011

The Federal Reserve said Wednesday it saw slower growth in the US economy than previously expected this year, highlighting a rise in unemployment and increasing inflation.

In quarterly projections released after a Fed policy-setting meeting, the central bank lowered its estimate of gross domestic product growth to a range between 2.7 percent and 2.9 percent.

That was sharply weaker than the 3.1 percent to 3.3 percent pace reported in the Fed's estimates in late April.

The latest economic projections were released after the Federal Open Market Committee wound up a two-day meeting unanimously deciding to keep monetary policy, including near-zero interest rates, on hold.

"The economic recovery is continuing at a moderate pace, though somewhat more slowly than the committee expected," the FOMC said, citing factors such as higher energy prices as likely temporary.

The US economy grew at only a 1.8 percent annual rate in the first quarter, and economists forecast a similar pace for the second quarter.

The Fed said it saw unemployment in the year rising at a rate between 8.6 percent and 8.9 percent, compared with an 8.4-8.7 percent projection in April.

After several months of decline, the unemployment rate ticked up to 9.1 percent in May as the weak economic conditions left employers reluctant to hire.

Inflation would rise to an annual rate between 2.3 percent and 2.5 percent, the Fed said, though it lowered its upper-end projection. The prior estimate was between 2.1 percent and 2.8 percent.

Core inflation -- excluding energy and food prices -- would hit between 1.5 percent and 1.8 percent, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the prior estimate.

The FOMC had noted that a recent pickup in inflation was mainly due to higher prices for some commodities and imported goods, as well as the recent supply chain disruptions from the Japan tsunami and nuclear disaster.




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China expects inflation rate to speed up in June
Beijing (AFP) June 22, 2011 - China's inflation rate -- a major bugbear for policymakers -- is expected to accelerate this month, the government said Wednesday, despite persistent efforts to contain soaring consumer costs.

Consumer inflation is likely to exceed the near-three-year high of 5.5 percent reached in May, the National Development and Reform Commission said in a statement.

China's top economic planner blamed the increase on the lagging effect of previous price hikes.

But price pressures would ease in the second half, the NDRC said, noting that recent floods and drought across large swathes of the country had had a limited impact on agricultural production and were unlikely to cause large price rises.

"This year's weather conditions are within the normal range," it said.

Nevertheless fruit and vegetable prices in the eastern province of Zhejiang have soared by as much as 40 percent after heavy rains destroyed crops, the official Xinhua news agency said this week.

Stability-obsessed Beijing is anxious about inflation and its potential to trigger social unrest. It has been restricting bank lending and hiking interest rates to stem a flood of liquidity into the world's second largest economy.

Analysts expect the central bank to hike rates for the fifth time since October in the coming weeks as Beijing struggles to contain rising prices.





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POLITICAL ECONOMY
Moody's downgrades Nippon Steel, JFE
Tokyo (AFP) June 20, 2011
Ratings agency Moody's on Monday said it had downgraded major Japanese steel companies Nippon Steel and JFE Holdings on concerns over their profitability in the face of rising raw material prices. Moody's Japan K.K., the Japanese unit of the US ratings firm, downgraded the senior unsecured debt ratings of Japan's biggest steelmaker Nippon Steel and JFE Holdings by one notch to A2 and A3 res ... read more


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