Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. Military Space News .




POLITICAL ECONOMY
Latin America hopes to ride out slow U.S. growth
by Staff Writers
Rio De Janeiro (UPI) Nov 8, 2013


disclaimer: image is for illustration purposes only

Latin America hopes to ride out slow growth and U.S. monetary issues on the strength of its own increased economic activity, Fitch rating agency data indicate.

While the pace of positive rating actions may slow in the evolving global economic environment, Fitch expects Latin American countries to come under significant downward pressure in the event of "U.S. tapering," the agency said in a new report.

"Tapering" is defined as the anticipated reduction of the U.S. Federal Reserve's quantitative easing, or bond-buying program, with expected international financial consequences.

Fitch said an economic downturn in specific Latin American and Caribbean regions, combined with external factors could lead to some countries from the area drawing negative rating actions.

"In most cases, negative rating actions would follow from country-specific deterioration that may be compounded by a less accommodating external environment," Fitch Latin America Sovereign Group Director Santiago Mosquera said.

In addition to the impact of U.S. Fed monetary moves, the region could be affected by a slowing Chinese economy, he said.

"An easing of capital flows following U.S. Fed tapering could lead to higher borrowing costs for sovereign issuers, diminished access to international capital markets for the private sector, renewed financial market and currency volatility, and further easing of commodity prices, especially if China's economy underperforms," Mosquera said.

Despite moves toward economic diversification, most of Latin America still depends on earnings from raw material exports, including largely unprocessed agricultural and food products, analysts said.

The Fitch report follows several market surveys speculating on how the U.S. economy could continue to affect Latin American nations.

Bond prices in emerging markets went through fluctuations in May mainly in response to U.S. regulators reconsidering monetary stimulus at that time.

"An eventual U.S. Fed tapering could lead to a renewed increase in risk-aversion and asset price volatility, negatively affecting confidence and growth," Fitch said.

Countries with high foreign participation in local debt markets may be more vulnerable to increased risk aversion, it said.

The report points out that regional countries with lower deficits and higher international reserves are least likely to be directly affected by U.S. economic events. Weaker economies in Central America and the Caribbean are thought to be more vulnerable.

"Overall, most Latin American countries are well positioned to face U.S. tapering thanks to their moderate fiscal and external imbalances, improved debt composition and strong external buffers, which, combined with access to multilateral financing, have improved their ability to absorb external shocks," Fitch said.

Much would still depend on respective governments' policy management and ways of handling volatile markets, the report warns.

.


Related Links
The Economy






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








POLITICAL ECONOMY
Outside View: Slowing growth clouds U.S. jobs outlook
College Park, Md. (UPI) Nov 7, 2013
The U.S. Labor Department is expected to report Friday the U.S. economy added 120,000 jobs in October, less than the 148,000 recorded in September and the trend for months prior. Unemployment should remain about 7.2 percent. The government shutdown and uncertainty about its precise effects on the data cloud Bureau of Labor Statistics estimates and forecasters' projections. However a slo ... read more


POLITICAL ECONOMY
Romania begins work on NATO missile shield base

Upgrades boost ballistic missile defense radar's performance to protect against missile raid

NATO, Russia make no progress on missile defence row

MEADS Tracks Tactical Ballistic Missile for First Time

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Lockheed Martin, MDA anbd Navy Demonstrate Ashore Missile Defense System

Turkey, US hold talks on China missile deal

Standard Missile-3 IIA completes Critical Design Review

Outside View: NATO needs to talk Turkey

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Aerostructures Validate Triton Unmanned Aircraft Wing Strength

Northrop Grumman Offers Open Architecture Solutions for Enhanced Avionics Capabilities

Israel drone manufacturing booms

Commercial unmanned aircraft market may be worth $10 billion

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Raytheon expands international footprint of electronic warfare capability

Latest AEHF Comms Payload Gets Boost From Customized Integrated Circuits

Northrop Grumman Receives Contract to Retrofit Joint STARS Fleet

Latest AEHF Comms Payload Gets Boost From Customized Integrated Circuits

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Chemical arms treaty meets love-gone-wrong in US high court

Northrop Grumman Demonstrates Micro-Gyro Prototype for DARPA Program

US Army, Raytheon complete AI3 live-fire demonstration

Raytheon test fires enhanced Marine Corps anti-tank weapon system

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Pentagon cuts risk higher casualties: US generals

Embraer, amid soaring profit, embroiled in bribery probe

BAE set to cut 1,000 shipbuilding jobs in Britain: report

Budget cuts will mean leaner US force: Hagel

POLITICAL ECONOMY
China paper rejects political change ahead of key meeting

Hong Kong activists plan new "fishing trip" to disputed islands

Japan putting missiles on Pacific gateway islands

Outside View: The American Follies

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Scientists untangle nanotubes to release their potential in the electronics industry

Nano-Cone Textures Generate Extremely "Robust" Water-Repellent Surfaces

Newly discovered mechanism propels micromotors

Densest array of carbon nanotubes grown to date




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement