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NUKEWARS
S. Korea-US military drill shadowed by N. Korea threats
By Giles HEWITT
Seoul (AFP) Aug 22, 2016


Japan, China, S.Korea foreign ministers to meet
Tokyo (AFP) Aug 22, 2016 - The foreign ministers of Japan, China and South Korea will meet this week in Tokyo, with their countries at odds over territorial disputes and a US missile defence system.

Japanese Foreign Minister Fumio Kishida, China's Wang Yi and South Korea's Yun Byung-Se will have dinner Tuesday before formal talks on Wednesday, Japan's foreign ministry said in a statement Monday.

They "will discuss trilateral cooperation as well as regional and global issues", it said.

Among those issues are likely to be North Korea.

Japan and South Korea regularly condemn Pyongyang for its nuclear and missile development, but feel frustrated by what they see as a lack of pressure on the country by China, its longtime ally and economic lifeline.

The talks also come as Sino-Japanese tensions over a territorial dispute in the East China Sea rose this month, while China and South Korea have sparred over the planned deployment in the latter country of a US anti-missile system.

Japan and China are locked in a long-running dispute over uninhabited islets in the East China Sea, with tensions over them a frequent hindrance to closer ties.

Tokyo has lodged more than 30 protests through diplomatic channels since August 5, saying there have been about 30 intrusions by Chinese vessels into its territorial waters.

Separately, China has complained about the planned deployment of the US Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system in South Korea, arguing the missile shield goes against its own national security interests and warning it will heighten regional tension.

South Korea, wary of offending key trade partner China, had wavered on its introduction, but went ahead in the face of North Korea's continued missile development.

The Japan-South Korea relationship is also prone to periodic tension.

A maritime dispute resurfaced on Monday last week when 10 South Korean lawmakers visited islets controlled by Seoul but claimed by Japan.

South Korean President Park Geun-Hye on the same day, however, called for a "future-oriented" relationship with Tokyo.

Bilateral meetings between Kishida and his Chinese and South Korean counterparts are being arranged, though nothing is set, a Japanese foreign ministry official told AFP.

The foreign ministerial meeting is expected to be followed later this year by a trilateral summit. The leaders of the three countries met in November last year in South Korea.

South Korea and the United States kicked off large-scale military exercises on Monday, triggering condemnation and threats of a pre-emptive nuclear strike from North Korea.

The two-week annual Ulchi Freedom drill, which plays out a scenario of full-scale invasion by the nuclear-armed North, is largely computer-simulated but still involves around 50,000 Korean and 25,000 US soldiers.

The exercise always triggers a rise in tensions on the divided Korean peninsula, and this year it coincides with particularly volatile cross-border relations following a series of high-profile defections.

Seoul and Washington insist the joint military drills are purely defensive in nature, but Pyongyang views them as wilfully provocative.

The North Korean Foreign Ministry on Monday condemned Ulchi Freedom as an "unpardonable criminal act" that could bring the peninsula to "the brink of war".

The Korean People's Army (KPA), meanwhile, threatened a military response to what it described as a rehearsal for a surprise nuclear attack and invasion of the North.

North Korea's frontline units were "fully ready to mount a preemptive retaliatory strike at all enemy attack groups involved", said a spokesman for the KPA General Staff.

- 'Nuclear strike' -

The slightest violation of North Korea's territorial sovereignty would result in the source of the provocation being turned "into a heap of ashes through Korean-style pre-emptive nuclear strike", the spokesman said.

Pyongyang has made similar threats in the past, and actual retaliation for South Korea-US military drills has largely been restricted to firing ballistic missiles into the sea.

The North's main ally China voiced its opposition to Ulchi Freedom, with a commentary published by the official Xinhua news agency saying it would only make Pyongyang "more aggressive" at an already sensitive time.

As the drill began, South Korean President Park Geun-Hye said a recent spate of headline-grabbing defections from North Korea signalled political turmoil in Pyongyang that could cause the leadership there to lash out against the South.

"It is increasingly possible that North Korea may undertake various terror attacks and provocations... to block internal unrest, prevent further defections and create confusion in our society," Park told a meeting of her National Security Council.

On Sunday the Unification Ministry in Seoul urged all citizens to be on guard against possible North Korean assassination attempts on defectors and anti-Pyongyang activists in the South.

Park said the South's military was on high alert and would "vigorously strike back" in the event of any hostile action.

- Communications cut -

Analysts say there is a genuine risk of an unintended incident escalating into a military clash, given the current absence of direct communication between the two Koreas.

As tensions rose in the wake of North Korea's fourth nuclear test in January, Pyongyang shut down the two existing hotlines with South Korea -- one used by the military and one for government-to-government communications.

And last month it severed its only direct communications link with the United States when it closed the so-called "New York channel" which had previously served as a key point of contact between North Korean and US diplomats at the United Nations.

The January nuclear test heightened North Korea's isolation as the international community, backed by the North's main diplomatic protector China, imposed substantially upgraded economic sanctions.

Pyongyang has remained defiant, and there are concerns that the leadership will order a show of force in the wake of the recent defections.

Last week North Korea's deputy ambassador to Britain, Thae Yong-Ho, defected to the South -- a rare and damaging loss of diplomatic face for Pyongyang and a major PR victory for Seoul.

The North's official KCNA news agency described Thae as "human scum" and said he had fled to avoid criminal charges including embezzling funds and raping a minor.

Thae's move fuelled Pyongyang's fury at the defection in April of a dozen North Korean overseas restaurant workers, whom it insists were kidnapped by South Korean intelligence.


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Previous Report
NUKEWARS
Japan, China, S.Korea foreign ministers to meet
Tokyo (AFP) Aug 22, 2016
The foreign ministers of Japan, China and South Korea will meet this week in Tokyo, with their countries at odds over territorial disputes and a US missile defence system. Japanese Foreign Minister Fumio Kishida, China's Wang Yi and South Korea's Yun Byung-Se will have dinner Tuesday before formal talks on Wednesday, Japan's foreign ministry said in a statement Monday. They "will discuss ... read more


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