Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. Military Space News .




DEMOCRACY
Thai army holds key to unlocking deadly impasse
by Staff Writers
Bangkok (AFP) May 21, 2014


Thailand's army chief could be lining up the pieces for an end-game to a deadly political crisis, but risks raising the stakes even higher given the threat of a violent backlash from government supporters, experts say.

Prospects for an end to the nearly seven-month crisis could hinge on talks between the kingdom's main political rivals due to be hosted Wednesday by General Prayut Chan-O-Cha, a day after he imposed martial law.

If the military can succeed in brokering a compromise then Thailand might be able to claw itself out of the turmoil, said Thitinan Pongsudhirak, director of the Institute of Security and International Studies at Bangkok's Chulalongkorn University.

But "this is a very dangerous role the army is playing", he added.

"If they don't do it well, we could see an outright military coup and protests against the military, and all kinds of worst-case scenarios in Thailand."

The enfeebled government has called for fresh elections on August 3.

But the opposition wants vaguely defined anti-corruption reforms first and has vowed to stay on the streets until it has ended the long-standing political dominance of ousted former premier Thaksin Shinawatra.

- 'Creeping coup' -

Despite strenuous denials by the military that the invocation of century-old legislation on Tuesday was tantamount to a coup, observers said the army chief is now firmly in control.

"The martial law act of 1914 is beginning to illuminate a shadowy route toward much-enhanced power by the iron heel of the army," said Paul Chambers, director of research at the Institute of Southeast Asian Affairs at Chiang Mai University.

He described it as a "creeping coup, a pre-coup, a half-way coup" that might lead to the installation of an arch-royalist prime minister in the kingdom, which has been without a fully functioning government since December.

The intervention of the generals took security control out of the hands of the government, reinforcing its image as largely powerless following the recent dismissal of prime minister Yingluck Shinawatra -- Thaksin's sister -- in a controversial court ruling.

Soon after martial law was declared, the government's opponents stepped up their push to invoke a vaguely worded clause in the constitution to remove caretaker Prime Minister Niwattumrong Boonsongpaisan and appoint a new leader.

So far Niwattumrong, like Yingluck, has resisted pressure to step down.

- 'Taking power' -

A group of unelected lawmakers in the upper house of parliament, the Senate, said they would ask the Constitutional Court to rule whether the cabinet broke the law by declaring a state of emergency earlier in the crisis.

The lawmakers argue that the move was for the benefit of the ruling party.

If the court rules against the government it could lead to its removal from office.

"I would not be surprised if the next step is a military coup or the military taking charge with the advice of the Senate and leading to the appointment of a new prime minister," said Pavin Chachavalpongpun, associate professor at the Centre for Southeast Asian Studies at Kyoto University in Japan.

"But certainly the military is trying to take power from the government."

"Red Shirt" supporters of Yingluck and her brother Thaksin, who was toppled as premier in a 2006 coup, have warned the country could descend into civil war if power is handed to an unelected leader.

Some experts believe that a struggle is unfolding to decide who will run the country when the more than six-decade reign of revered but ailing 86-year-old King Bhumibol Adulyadej eventually ends.

The succession is a taboo topic in Thailand and its discussion is restricted by harsh royal defamation laws.

- Fears of backlash -

The last coup eight years ago unleashed a cycle of political violence and rival street protests that have left deep fault lines running through the Southeast Asian nation.

The imposition of martial law could be aimed at warding off any backlash by the Red Shirts, whose mass rallies against the previous government in 2010 ended in a bloody military crackdown that left dozens of people dead, experts said.

"The declaration of martial law is likely designed to pre-empt any Red Shirt uprising in the capital following the Senate's nomination of a new government, which is likely in the next weeks," said Alecia Quah, senior analyst at consultancy IHS Country Risk.

"Given the heavy army presence in Bangkok, Red Shirt protesters are unlikely to turn violent or confront opposition protesters, as the military would swiftly suppress this," she added.

.


Related Links
Democracy in the 21st century at TerraDaily.com






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








DEMOCRACY
Thai army invokes martial law, urges rivals to talk
Bangkok (AFP) May 20, 2014
Thailand's army chief imposed martial law Tuesday after months of deadly anti-government protests caused political paralysis, but insisted the intervention did not amount to yet another military coup. Gun-toting troops fanned out after martial law was declared in a dawn broadcast, as General Prayut Chan-O-Cha exploited century-old legislation that confers far-reaching powers on the armed for ... read more


DEMOCRACY
Canadian missile defense radar to be operated, maintained by Raytheon

Propulsion Module For SBIRS GEO-4 Satellite Completed

Canada revisiting ballistic missile defense: official

South Korea orders missile defense systems from ATK

DEMOCRACY
Lockheed Martin Demonstrates Javelin Firing From Turret in UK Test

Lockheed Martin weapons turret demonstrated with missile system

Advanced Precision Kill Weapon System rockets for Jordan

Raytheon's JSOW scores direct hits in back-to-back flight tests

DEMOCRACY
Northrop Grumman, RMIT Studying Operation of UAVs in Australia

Lockheed Martin Introduces Latest Addition to Small UAV Family

FAA to Expedite Limited Commercial Operations of UAS

Gilat to showcase its BlackRay terminals for Unmanned Platforms in AUVSI 2014

DEMOCRACY
Airbus boosts communication capability for British ships

Harris providing tactical communications to country in central Asia

Production Ramps Up on next Advanced EHF Birds

A Multi-Billion Dollar Military Satellite Market

DEMOCRACY
Raytheon delivers 1000th Miniature Air Launched Decoy Jammer to USAF

Poland receives surplus German tanks

US senators denounce delays for veterans at clinics

Saudi company to sell Xenonics' night-vision equipment

DEMOCRACY
US plans nearly $1 billion arms deal with Iraq

Foreign Military Sales deal in works for Sidewinder missiles

Pentagon chief to head to Saudi, Israel next week

India's Modi pledges defence procurement overhaul

DEMOCRACY
Japan to establish island military posts: report

Russia orders troops back to bases ahead of Ukraine vote

Return of the Cold War?

Russia, China seek mutual support in Putin visit

DEMOCRACY
Engineers build world's smallest, fastest nanomotor

Nanoscale heat flow predictions

Harnessing Magnetic Vortices for Making Nanoscale Antennas

New method for measuring the temperature of nanoscale objects discovered




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement All images and articles appearing on Space Media Network have been edited or digitally altered in some way. Any requests to remove copyright material will be acted upon in a timely and appropriate manner. Any attempt to extort money from Space Media Network will be ignored and reported to Australian Law Enforcement Agencies as a potential case of financial fraud involving the use of a telephonic carriage device or postal service.