Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. Military Space News .




ENERGY NEWS
Time for Investors to Hunker Down
by Dan Dicker
Washington DC (SPX) Sep 09, 2013


File image.

It's time to step out from my 'normal' role as the 'energy expert' and make a comment or two on the markets in general, just as a professional trader who's seen quite a bit in his almost 3 decades of daily experience with capital markets and the way they act. Patterns emerge that aren't foolproof, but they've served well over the years and they are making some very visceral noises to me, even observing the action at longer range on vacation.

Here's something that won't be news to you - the markets look terrible.

It's not just the fundamental information that most of the 'regular' equity analysts have been filling you full of on every media outlet around: There's the lowering of expectations on earnings, not just the disappointments of 2nd quarter results (which were uninspiring).

It's not just the continued bad indications from the emerging markets, whose growth rates continue to be guided downward. It's not the continuing bleat of 'taper talk' which (for those who believe this has been a totally fed-inspired rally) would be a total death knell for stocks.

You don't need me to point out any of this.

But here's what I see. There's a stock market that continues to ride the lower edges of some usually reliable technical indicators, like the RSI and Stochastic, usually a good sign for a technical rally. There's a market that's felt extended but now looks more like it's really rolling over, and not for any short-term of a few sessions or weeks, as we had earlier this year.

We've got a bond market that may be even worse than equities, and is riding out into the sunset on a wave of panic, with very few analysts interested in buying. And we've got a pick-up in some of the most 'left-for-dead' commodities that were never supposed to come back, including copper and natural gas, up above $3.50/mcf again.

Every stock rally looks like it has to be sold and Gold actually looks like it should be bought.

These are not good signs, folks. These are the signs of a market that has put in it's best values for the next several months and has a best case scenario of moving sideways for the rest of the year, if not into the first few quarters of 2014.

But, where can you go? As an oil trader, I've got no problem being short commodities, but a lousy track record being short stocks. That's why I've advocated collecting premium wherever you can by selling calls either in the money or slightly out of it on most every issue you own in stocks.

With your commodity exposure, I still maintain that most of the risk remains to the upside and the strong correlations between oil and stocks are slowing breaking.

In very, very unique cases, I might look to buy something undervalued, but it would have to have been undervalued for years, as the miners have been or perhaps inside the natural gas space. Over the last few columns, I've given you some ideas here and I'll continue to do that when appropriate.

But for now and into the near future, I'm hunkering down.

The market action just stinks.

.


Related Links
Oilprice.com







Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








ENERGY NEWS
Berlin Senate opposes municipalization of city power grid
Berlin (UPI) Sep 5, 2013
After an intense political struggle, Berlin's Senate this week urged Berliners to vote against a referendum measure that would municipalize the city's electric power grid. In an apparent victory for the center-right Christian Democratic Union, the Senate issued a unanimous statement Tuesday advising voters to reject a Nov. 3 ballot measure backed by the Green Party and a citizen's movem ... read more


ENERGY NEWS
Israel deploys Iron Dome system near Jerusalem: AFP

Israel says missile tested in joint exercise with US

Israel deploys Iron Dome defence system: Netanyahu

Modernized Patriot system aces PAC-3 test

ENERGY NEWS
'Friendly' nation to test missiles in Mediterranean: Cyprus

Russia suspends Syria S-300 missile deliveries: Putin

Russia destroys missiles destined for Iran: report

New Iran launchpad for ballistic missile tests: experts

ENERGY NEWS
Tiniest autopilot unit created for small micro aerial vehicles

Sharp rise in British drone use in Afghanistan

Promise of jobs triggers scramble for civilian drones

Yemen asked US for drones: president

ENERGY NEWS
New Military Communications Satellite Built By Lockheed Martin Launches

US Navy Poised to Launch Lockheed Martin-Built Secure Communications Satellite for Mobile Users

Northrop Grumman Moves New B-2 Satellite Communications Concept to the High Ground

Canada links up on secure U.S. military telecoms network

ENERGY NEWS
Warrior Web Closer to Making Its Performance-Improving Suit a Reality

Russia unveils plans for new anti-missile system, 5th-generation fighter jet

MEADS System to Identify Friend Or Foe Aircraft Certified by U.S. Air Traffic Control Office

Lockheed Martin's paveway II Dual Mode Laser Guided Bomb Successfully Employed in Navy Exercises

ENERGY NEWS
US spying on Brazil halts talks on warplane purchase: Brazil

Chinese man faces jail for smuggling US arms equipment

BAE Systems says closing Pennsylvania facility

Japan eyes defence budget increase, Marines-like unit

ENERGY NEWS
Japan lawmaker cool to moves on China

China flotilla in Japan dispute island waters

US, Russian joint military exercise in Far East, Alaska

Japan scrambles jets for drone near disputed islands

ENERGY NEWS
Size Matters as Nanocrystals Go Through Phases

New breakthrough for structural characterization of metal nanoparticles

Toxic nanoparticles might be entering human food supply

Plasma-treated nano filters help purify world water supply




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement