. Military Space News .
Will Gemayel Killing Spark Talks

Lebanese Industry Minister Pierre Gemayel (pictured) was assassinated in a Beirut suburb, 22 November 2006. Photo courtesy of AFP.
by Samar Kadi
UPI Correspondent
Beirut (UPI) Nov 22, 2006
The assassination of Minister of Industry Pierre Gemayel, an outspoken anti-Syria politician, jolted Lebanon. But will the tremors from this political earthquake prompt the country's political foes to reconsider their intransigent stances and avert an open confrontation? Gemayel's killing in broad daylight deepened the country's most pronounced post-civil war crisis, sparking renewed fears of sectarian clashes.

But opposing Lebanese camps, the anti-Syrian March 14 Coalition, and pro-Syria groups led by Hezbollah, have on different occasions discarded civil strife as "unacceptable," stressing the need for peaceful expression.

Gemayel's father, former President Amin Gemayel, called on his Christian Phalange Party followers to exercise self-restraint and avoid actions that might lead to violence, cautioning that "Pierre's assassins" aimed at inciting civil strife.

"We don't want reactions and revenge ... We want to protect this country and remain in the service of Lebanon," Amin Gemayel said.

With a little bit of luck and some common sense the younger Gemayel's assassination might have the reverse effect; instead of dividing the rivals, maybe the shock will jolt the opposing parties to their senses and to dialogue.

Several issues are at stake. The international court which will try defendants in the Feb. 14, 2005 assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, the fate of controversial pro-Syrian President Emile Lahoud whose mandate was extended for three years in September 2004 at Syria's behest and the formation of a national unity government.

"The possibility of a clash or collision has receded at present because the momentum for it has broken down," Antoine Haddad, whose Democratic Renewal Movement is a member of the March 14 Coalition, told United Press International Wednesday.

He said the anti-Syria gathering is hoping that the other camp will take time out to recalculate the arithmetic of the crisis. "We just don't believe that the other camp wants the destruction of the country and we are betting on their reasoning and reconsideration of agendas," Haddad said.

Journalist and political analyst Toufik Mishlawi contends that Gemayel's slaying placed the opposite parties on a collision course.

He argued that foreign players can play a role in easing the tensions and cooling down spirits to avoid a clash which would be detrimental for the country's future.

"The only hope depends on whether the foreign mediators can succeed in twisting the arms of local players on both sides and have them agree on certain mutual concessions," Mishlawi said. He was referring to Saudi Arabia, Egypt, France and the United States, which carry influence with the anti-Syria camp.

What is not clear is who can influence the opposite side, except Iran and Syria.

The simmering struggle flared a few weeks ago when Hezbollah demanded greater representation in Prime Minister Fouad Siniora's government to include Christian ally Gen. Michel Aoun of the Free Patriotic Movement. Four rounds of talks proved to be futile and dialogue collapsed when five Shiite ministers from Hezbollah and Speaker Nabih Berri's Amal Movement and an allied politician resigned on Nov. 11. The move deprived the cabinet of its Shiite representation on the eve of a government meeting meant to endorse the international court's draft, which was approved nonetheless.

Hezbollah's Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah retorted last week by insisting on the resignation of the government and holding early elections, threatening his followers will otherwise take to the street to bring the cabinet down.

Nasrallah, whose party condemned Gemayel's assassination, discarded fears of civil strife stressing that the street protests will be peaceful and democratic.

Haddad ruled out any action in the street at the time being in view of the big tensions unleashed by Gemayel's assassination.

"It will be very difficult for them to continue to threaten to resort to the street," Haddad said. He contended that even before the assassination, the street option was shrouded by two concerns, namely stirring Sunni-Shiite tensions, and the difficulty of mobilizing Aoun's Christian followers to shoulder a group known for its close ties to Syria and Iran such as Hezbollah.

Mishlawi believes the street option "will be postponed for a while ... it will be delayed and not necessarily scrapped off."

Haddad stressed that the multi-sectarian March 14 Movement, comprised of the Future Movement led by Saad Hariri, son and political heir of the slain prime minister, the Progressive Socialist Party of Druze leader Walid Jumblatt, and the Christian Lebanese Forces led by Samir Geagea, "will continue to propose positive initiatives to avoid collision and prevent the destruction of the country."

Although the March 14 Coalition is open to positive initiatives aimed at sparing the country further jolts, Haddad stressed that "there is a red line that no one will be allowed to cross. We simply will not accept to lose control over the government."

As a matter of fact, Jumblatt threw the ball in the pro-Syrian camp Wednesday when he called on Shiite ministers to retract their resignation and join the majority ministers in ratifying the international court, an obvious nightmare for Syria which was largely singled out as a suspect in Hariri's assassination.

"If they do that, we will then forget everything and open a new page over a national unity government that should be coupled with the election of a new president of the republic," Jumblatt said in an explicit proposal for a way out of the current crisis. He cautioned against "the great dangers of resorting to the street" to force the government's collapse, warning the other camp that such a move could backfire on them.

Jumblatt then accused Syria of being behind Gemayel's assassination, which he said is part of the chain of slayings that started with the aborted attempt on Communications Minister Marwan Hamadeh in October 2004, culminated with Hariri's slaying and continued afterwards, always targeting anti-Syria politicians and intellectuals.

Jumblatt was the second, after Saad Hariri, to bluntly blame the regime in Damascus for Tuesday's violence.

Source: United Press International

Related Links
Your World At War

Mideast Focus On Lebanon
United Nations (UPI) Nov 22, 2006
As the top U.N. political affairs officer prepared to deliver his monthly briefing on the Middle East to the Security Council Tuesday, the murmur around the horseshoe-shaped table was of Lebanon and yet another political assassination. It was only hours earlier when Beirut's Minister of Industry Pierre Gemayel, 34, a Maronite Christian and, perhaps more telling, member of the anti-Syria March 14 movement, was ambushed in a Christian area near Beirut.







  • Fighting An Asymmetrical Chinese War Machine
  • Russia Prioritizes Strategic Forces On Security Agenda
  • Timetable For Climate Talks Implies US Could Be Out Of Kyoto Fold For Years
  • US Commander Meets Chinese Officials Ahead Of Military Drill

  • White House Says Iran Assessment Report Inaccurate
  • Britain To Unveil Plans To Replace Nuclear Missile System
  • Official Says North Korea Won't Give Up Nuclear Weapons
  • Macau Authority Denies North Korea-Linked Bank Accounts Unfrozen

  • Northrop Grumman Expands Radar Role In Missile Testing
  • Pakistan Fires Nuclear-Capable Missile
  • Lean Principles Contribute To Missile Success
  • LM Compact Kinetic Energy Missile Flight Test Against Armor Target

  • Bush And Abe OK Faster BMD Cooperation
  • US, Japan Boost BMD Cooperation
  • USAF And Lockheed Martin Completes On-Orbit Checkout Of First SBIRS HEO Payload
  • The Democrat Approach To BMD

  • Aviation Industry Alarmed At New EU Emission Rules
  • Technologies Evaluated For The Future National Airspace System
  • Silent Aircraft Readies For Take-Off
  • Global Aviation Industry Gathers For Key Chinese Air Show

  • SkyLite B In Australia And New Zealand
  • EDO Wins Contract To Support Unmanned Aircraft
  • Boeing ScanEagle Achieves Major Flight Milestones
  • World's Operators Of The Northrop Grumman E-2 Hawkeye Gather For Annual Conference

  • Damascus And Baghdad, Again, Come Together
  • Iraq Civilian Slaughter Grows
  • Three Myths And One More In Iraq And Beyond
  • Worse Than Tet

  • Boeing Awarded $296 Million JDAM Contract
  • The Mechanics Of Better Bullet Proofing
  • Israel Developing Bionic Arsenal
  • Air Force Declassifies Elite Aggressor Program

  • The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2006 - SpaceDaily.AFP and UPI Wire Stories are copyright Agence France-Presse and United Press International. ESA PortalReports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additionalcopyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by SpaceDaily on any Web page published or hosted by SpaceDaily. Privacy Statement