SpaceWar.com - Your World At War
Putin focused on consolidating Ukraine gains: US intel
Washington, May 4 (AFP) May 04, 2023
Russian forces in Ukraine are so degraded they cannot mount any significant offensive moves and are focused for now on consolidating control of occupied territory, the US intelligence chief said Thursday.

As Ukraine prepares for its own offensive in the coming months, Russian President Vladimir Putin still likely aims to prolong the conflict until Western support for Kyiv wanes, said Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines.

"Putin probably has scaled back his immediate ambitions to consolidating control of the occupied territory in eastern and southern Ukraine, and ensuring that Ukraine will never become a NATO ally," Haines told a hearing of the Senate Armed Services Committee.

But she said that whatever the outcome of Ukraine's offensive -- whether it recaptures much of the occupied south and east or the current stalemate remains -- Putin is unlikely to offer any concessions to advance peace talks.

"The challenge is that even as Putin may be scaling back his near-term ambitions, the prospect for Russian concessions to advance negotiations this year will be low unless domestic political vulnerabilities alter his thinking," Haines said.

While Western allies bolster Kyiv with arms, ammunition and training in advance of its planned offensive, Haines noted that Russian forces have "significant" shortfalls in ammunition and personnel.

"Even if Ukraine's counter-offensive is not fully successful, the Russians are unlikely to be able to mount a significant offensive operation this year," Haines said.

To sustain even a modest offensive campaign, Putin would have to order a mandatory mobilization of army recruits as well as secure significant ammunition supplies from other countries, beyond what it gets from Iran, she said.

Still, she added: "We continue to assess that Putin most likely calculates that time works in his favor and that prolonging the war may be his best remaining pathway to eventually securing Russia's strategic interests in Ukraine."

Haines said Moscow's losses are such that its military requires "years of rebuilding."

With a weakened conventional military force, Moscow will become more reliant on nuclear, cyber and space capabilities for deterrence, she said.

Haines added it was "very unlikely" that Moscow would use nuclear weapons in the conflict.


ADVERTISEMENT




Space News from SpaceDaily.com
China expands satellite networks for smart connectivity
Iridium and Syniverse to Enable Direct-to-Device Satellite Connectivity for MNOs Worldwide
Trump says withdrawing Musk ally as nominee to head NASA

24/7 Energy News Coverage
Overlooked cells might explain the human brain's huge storage capacity
Key climate target of airline decarbonisation 'in peril': IATA
Chinese automakers get stern 'price war' warning after discount spree

Military Space News, Nuclear Weapons, Missile Defense
UK to build attack subs as part of major defence review
Ukraine strikes Russian bombers ahead of Istanbul talks
Zelensky arrives in Vilnius for Nato eastern flank summit

24/7 News Coverage
World coming up short on promised marine sanctuaries
Oceans feel the heat from human climate pollution
Nations urged to make UN summit a 'turning point' for oceans



All rights reserved. Copyright Agence France-Presse. Sections of the information displayed on this page (dispatches, photographs, logos) are protected by intellectual property rights owned by Agence France-Presse. As a consequence, you may not copy, reproduce, modify, transmit, publish, display or in any way commercially exploit any of the content of this section without the prior written consent of Agence France-Presse.