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Germany's proposed defence and infrastructure bonanza: how and why? Frankfurt, Germany, March 5 (AFP) Mar 05, 2025 Germany's likely next chancellor Friedrich Merz announced plans on Tuesday to spend hundreds of billions on Germany's infrastructure and defence, as well as to reform the country's "debt brake". Introduced in 2009 after the financial crash, the brake limits government borrowing to 0.35 percent of GDP in an effort to make sure the German government can always pay its bills. But critics say the brake holds back sorely needed investment. The scale of Merz's proposals has boosted hopes that Germany could stimulate its economy, currently facing its third year of low or no growth, as well as refurbish its threadbare armed forces, gradually rundown since the end of the Cold War. Here are the key details of the proposals:
Spending above that amount would not count towards it, allowing for potentially unlimited borrowing to spend on defence. In addition, a 500 billion euro special fund for infrastructure would also be set up, funded by borrowing that also would not count towards the debt brake. Germany's federal states, which are currently forbidden from running deficits, would also be able to take out debts equivalent to 0.35 percent of GDP each year.
But since it is enshrined in the constitution, they would need the support of the Greens or the liberal Free Democrats (FDP) to achieve the necessary two-thirds majority. The hard-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) and hard-left Linke oppose reforming the brake as Merz has suggested, the former since they believe the state should not spend more than it takes in and the latter since they oppose higher defence spending. The reforms would need to pass by the end of March, since Germany's newly elected Bundestag will then take up its work. The AfD and Linke, who both made gains in February's general election, could then block the measures.
A parliamentary report on the armed forces issued last year said they suffered from "a shortage of materiel, from major equipment to spare parts" as well as "disastrous" infrastructure, including barracks in a "disgraceful" condition. As for the infrastructure fund, it is hoped it will help boost growth and thus, in the long-run, help pay down any additional debt. The SPD, currently in negotiations with the CDU to form a coalition government, also want to spend more to improve infrastructure that has suffered high-profile failures in recent years, including a bridge that partially collapsed in Dresden last September.
Kathleen Brooks, research director at brokerage XTB, pointed out that the MDAX index of smaller companies that are more tied to German economy also rose strongly, suggesting markets expect the plans to boost Germany's economy. "This is huge. For years, economists have said that Germany needed to change its spending rules to get out of the economic hole. It's taken a Conservative Chancellor-in-waiting to pull the trigger," she said. But not all economists see it that way. Veronika Grimm, who advises the German government on economic policy, told news portal RND that deregulation and tax cuts -- not government spending -- would fix the German economy.
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