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China military buildup changing balance in Asia: US

Analysis: China can't buy Sukhoi jets
Some Western media have reported that China is negotiating with Russian aircraft manufacturer Sukhoi Co. for the procurement of 14 Su-33 shipborne fighters, claiming that the contract on the deal will be signed soon. However, Boris D. Bregman, first deputy general director of Sukhoi, said the talks with China are still only at the consultation stage. While confirming that contacts were ongoing, he said no official negotiations had been initiated so far. The information that China intended to import 14 Sukhoi Su-33 fighters came from the Russian military industry delegation attending the Zhuhai Air Show in 2006. Members of the delegation said China had indicated it would eventually require about 50 Sukhoi Su-33s to arm several aircraft carrier battle groups.

China had initially requested only two fighters, then raised its request to 14, to be procured in two groups of seven, a Russian military-industry source said. However, given its past record of copying Russian technology, suspicions were high that the Chinese intended to produce their own version of the fighter plane, using the Sukhoi Su-33 as a model. A Russian official told United Press International that producing only seven aircraft in one batch was not feasible, as production of the Sukhoi Su-33 had already been suspended and the cost of reconstructing the production facilities was too high for such a small order.

However, Bregman told the author that his company could produce an upgraded variant of the Sukhoi Su-33 for export, according to the purchaser's requirements, if the deal was right. Some reports have suggested that a version of the aircraft specifically designed for China -- referred to as the Sukhoi Su-33K -- could be built to the standard of the Sukhoi Su-30MK2, which has upgraded electronics that support anti-ship missiles, or even fitted with Irbis or Bars phased-array radar systems. The former is currently installed on Sukhoi Su-35 fighters. However, these modifications seem unlikely. The Irbis has a maximum power output of 20 kilowatts; therefore, the Sukhoi Su-33's power supply would be far from enough to support it. The Bars passive phased-array radar is mainly employed on the Sukhoi Su-30MKM/MKI fighters currently in use by the Malaysian and Indian air forces. The Russian Defense Ministry has not yet officially approved the export of this type of radar system to China. China and Russia have not yet been able to reach agreement on the procurement of the Sukhoi Su-33 fighters. Negotiations on the deal are still only in the initial stages, and China will place its priorities elsewhere in 2009.

The Chinese navy will continue its work on constructing an aircraft carrier; at the same time, it will consider its options with regard to the selection of shipborne fighter aircraft. Since the aircraft carrier construction is likely to take at least another five to six years, it is not impossible that China may develop a shipborne variant of its own J-10A and J-11BH fighters during this period. However, Sukhoi may eventually restart its Su-33 production line because the Russian navy is about to resume its own "grand aircraft carrier program." Aviation weapons observers based in Moscow say that a more realistic purchase order of Sukhoi Su-33 fighters would be 24 or more in order to make the start-up of the production line cost-effective. Therefore, China may either have to increase its order or find another solution to the problem of procuring shipborne fighter aircraft.

by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) March 25, 2009
China's pursuit of "disruptive" technologies for nuclear, space and cyber warfare is altering Asia's military balance, the Pentagon said in a report Wednesday.

China has kept up major investments in its armed forces and made advances in hi-tech weaponry that outpaced other countries in the region, the Defense Department said in its annual report to Congress on Beijing's military.

Chinese "armed forces continue to develop and field disruptive military technologies, including those for anti-access/area-denial, as well as for nuclear, space, and cyber warfare, that are changing regional military balances and that have implications beyond the Asia-Pacific region."

The military buildup has allowed China to help with peacekeeping, humanitarian and counter-piracy missions, but could also allow it to "project power to ensure access to resources or enforce claims to disputed territories," the report said.

The Defense Department also confirmed in the document for the first time that the Chinese have built a new naval base at Hainan Island that can serve its growing fleet of submarines, including those equipped with ballistic missiles.

"The port, which has underground facilities, would provide the PLA (People's Liberation Army) Navy with direct access to vital international sea lanes, and offers the potential for stealthy deployment of submarines into the deep waters of the South China Sea," the Pentagon said of the base, which has been the subject of numerous media reports.

The Chinese accused the United States of spying near Hainan Island after a naval standoff earlier this month involving a US surveillance ship designed to track submarines with underwater sonars.

Washington charged its ship was harassed in international waters by Chinese vessels that veered dangerously close to the USNS Impeccable. After the incident, the US Navy sent in a heavily-armed destroyer to escort the surveillance ship.

The Pentagon report was written before the standoff but a senior defense official said Chinese actions appeared to be "consistent" with their military's stated mission of safeguarding against posssible threats to its sovereignty.

"China is very, very sensitive about what it perceives to be its territorial claims," the official, who asked not to be named, told reporters.

After the incident in the South China Sea, China charged the US Navy had entered what it considers to be an "economic exclusion zone."

The Chinese military has put a priority on cyber warfare and there have been numerous intrusions against US government and other computer networks around the world that "appear to have originated within" China, the report said.

The intrusions were focused on extracting information but "the accesses and skills required for these intrusions are similar to those necessary to conduct computer network attacks," the report said.

"It's something we are concerned about given the ability to access sensitive information," said the senior defense official.

Indian and Belgian government officials reported their computer networks had been targeted by suspected Chinese hackers last year and US authorities were investigating an incident.

The report also said China had sold nearly seven billion dollars worth of conventional arms in the global market, with Pakistan as the main customer.

Beijing usually rejects Washington's annual assessment of its military as a distorted portrayal of spending that it says is for purely defensive purposes.

But China's lack of transparency in reporting military spending and security policy "poses risks to stability by creating uncertainty and increasing the potential for misunderstanding and miscalculation," the report said.

Citing the report, the Defense Department called for more dialogue with China's military to reduce mutual suspicions.

"The more dialogue, the more interaction we have the better chance we have to ... reduce or hopefully eliminate the possibility of any misunderstanding or miscalculation between us," press secretary Geoff Morrell told a news conference.

China announced plans a year ago to increase its military budget by nearly 18 percent.

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