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Solid-fuel ICBM? What we know about Kim Jong Un's arsenal Seoul, Oct 31 (AFP) Oct 31, 2024 North Korea said Thursday it had test-fired one of its newest and most powerful weapons to boost its nuclear deterrent, with Seoul warning it could be a solid-fuel intercontinental ballistic missile. AFP takes a look at what we know:
In contrast, liquid-fuelled missiles typically require that the fuel and an oxidiser be inserted before they can be fired -- a slower and more cumbersome process. For leader Kim Jong Un's purposes, this creates "a time period for South Korea to detect and target preemptively before the launch," said Han Kwon-hee of the Korea Association of Defence Industry Studies. This is the whole premise of South Korea's so-called "Kill Chain" defence system, Han said. That is why Kim wants solid fuel missiles. "It allows for rapid launches with minimal preparation," Han said, adding that they can be deployed "almost instantly".
Seoul had warned that a North Korean missile launch or even a nuclear test was imminent ahead of next week's US election. The ICBM launch is part of North Korea's effort to "reframe its troop deployment to Russia as a legitimate response to the threat posed by the United States," Hong Min, a senior analyst at the Korea Institute for National Unification, told AFP. Seoul says that in addition to dispatching troops to Russia, Pyongyang has sent 13,000 shipping containers full of artillery shells, anti-tank rockets and missiles.
Such missiles have a minimum range of 5,500 kilometres (3,400 miles) and are primarily designed to deliver nuclear warheads -- which allows Kim to threaten the US. The launch "demonstrates that Russia and North Korea, as nuclear-armed states, possess the capability to operate strategic nuclear weapons against the United States," Hong said. Kim may be signalling to Washington that "the North Korea-Russia alliance is, in essence, a nuclear alliance."
North Korea fired what has become known as the "monster missile" in November 2022, and tested a solid-fuel ICBM last year. The record-breaking ICBM launch on Thursday "reached an altitude of 7,000 km and flew for 1 hour and 26 minutes," South Korean lawmaker Yu Yong-weon, who sits on the defence committee in parliament, wrote on Facebook. "This makes Thursday's launch the longest ever by North Korea, and possibly by any country," Seoul-based specialist site NK News reported. The duration and altitude indicate the North "tried to evaluate whether a heavy multiple-warhead ICBM can indeed reach the US mainland," Yang Moo-jin, president of the University of North Korean Studies in Seoul, told AFP. All of North Korea's ICBMs -- including Thursday's launch -- have been test-fired on a lofted trajectory -- meaning up not out. Experts question whether they could survive reentry into the atmosphere and prove accurate over greater ranges.
North Korea has also conducted six previous nuclear tests, with South Korea's military telling lawmakers this week that the North could again attempt "to highlight nuclear issues before the US presidential election." Kim toured a uranium enrichment facility in September -- with state media releasing images of it for the first time -- and Seoul has said "preparations at the Punggye-ri nuclear test site in Kilju County are nearly complete," for a seventh test. By flexing its military muscles, Kim is sending a clear message to Washington, experts said. By successfully test-firing a solid-fuel mission "it could enable surprise ICBM attacks on US territories without prior warning," Kim Ki-ho, a North Korean studies expert who teaches at Seoul Christian University, told AFP. "This effort is aimed at enhancing their negotiating power, regardless of who wins the upcoming US presidential election."
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