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CLIMATE SCIENCE
US predicts climate law within decade
by Staff Writers
New York (AFP) Sept 19, 2016


France hopeful climate accord takes effect in November
United Nations, United States (AFP) Sept 19, 2016 - France's environment minister on Monday voiced optimism that the Paris global accord on fighting climate change will come into force by November.

Segolene Royal, who is president of the so-called COP21 conference behind last year's far-reaching agreement in Paris, said the goal was to put it in place before the next meeting opens on November 7 in Marrakesh, Morocco.

"There's a good competition" among countries to ratify as quickly as possible, she told AFP, "even if we have to stay vigilant."

"The awareness of the importance of the ratification is bearing fruit," she said on the sidelines of the annual United Nations General Assembly where the Paris accord will be in focus on Wednesday.

The agreement asks all countries to develop plans to keep the planet from warming more than two degrees Celsius (3.6 Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels to avoid the worst effects of climate change.

To take effect, at least 55 countries that make up 55 percent of global greenhouse-gas emissions must formally enter the agreement.

The Paris accord received a major boost earlier this month when China and the United States -- the two top emitters -- both committed to it during a summit.

A total of 28 parties that account for 39 percent of emissions have so far ratified the Paris accord, according to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change.

Around 10 countries have made preparations to submit their ratification Wednesday including Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Morocco and Ukraine, which would bring the level to 50 percent.

Royal hoped that India would ratify the agreement next month. The European Union, which accounts for a little more than 12 percent of emissions, could then seal it.

The 28-member bloc could make the decision with a meeting of environment ministers on September 30 followed by an October 4 vote of the European parliament.

So far Austria, France, Hungary and Malta are the only EU members to ratify the accord on their own.

US Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz on Monday predicted that the world's largest economy would have legislation by the end of the decade to combat climate change.

His optimism comes despite intense political debate in the United States with Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump vowing to scrap the Paris climate accord if elected on November 8.

But Moniz, opening the annual Climate Week of events in New York on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly, said that US public opinion and state and local policymakers were moving toward reducing carbon responsible for the planet's fast-rising temperatures.

"I will state quite frankly, I have a bet riding on the fact that we will have economy-wide legislation in the Congress by the end of this decade. I really believe that this is coming," he said, joking that as a physicist he believed in "rationality."

Legislation to create the first nationwide carbon caps in the United States, the world's second-largest emitter after China, died in the Senate in 2010, with little prospect seen for action after the Republicans took control.

President Barack Obama instead has relied on executive authority to take measures such as regulating power plants and fuel standards.

Moniz said that the United States was confident it would meet its goal submitted under the Paris accord of reducing emissions of carbon and other greenhouse gases by 26 to 28 percent by 2025, from 2005 levels.

"But I think there's no issue that rather than a sectoral approach, which is inherent in using administrative authorities, a simplified economy-wide approach would be preferable and, frankly, would be a lot clearer in terms of the signals for business," Moniz said.

The United Nations is hoping that this week's meetings will put in force the Paris accord, which requires formal agreement by 55 countries accounting for 55 percent of global emissions.

The accord got a major boost earlier this month when Obama and Chinese President Xi Jinping jointly committed themselves to the global climate pact.


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