Military Space News
SINO DAILY
The economic reality facing China as leaders huddle
The economic reality facing China as leaders huddle
By Peter CATTERALL
Beijing (AFP) Oct 22, 2025

The top brass of China's ruling Communist Party is gathering in Beijing this week to devise a strategy that will steer the country through 2030 and shape its trade relationships.

Having risen from isolation and poverty just decades ago to become a technological and manufacturing superpower, China is now the world's second-largest economy, its exports filling global shipping lanes.

However, the challenges confronting leaders are considerable, with a rapidly ageing population, sluggish household spending and heightened trade frictions with the United States and its allies weighing down growth.

This week's "fourth plenum" of the Central Committee -- focused on formulating the party's next five-year plan and scheduled to conclude Thursday -- is being closely watched for signs on how leaders intend to tackle those thorny issues.

Here are the key facets of the economic situation Beijing is staring down:

- Consumer slump -

Decades of explosive growth in China following sweeping market reforms in the late 1970s and 1980s were largely driven by export-oriented industrialisation and infrastructure investment.

Now, as demographics shift and urbanisation slows, economists argue the country must move towards a model centred on domestic consumption to sustain long-term growth.

But consumer sentiment in China -- pummelled by the Covid-19 pandemic -- remains cautious.

"Both cyclical and structural factors are behind the weak private consumption," analysts from ANZ Research wrote this week.

Persistent woes in the real estate sector, a relatively limited social safety net and a highly competitive job market are among factors dissuading consumers.

Policy efforts that emerge from this week's meeting "are expected to address income inequality and limited social welfare coverage", the ANZ Research note added.

Adding to the complexity, China's population has started to decline in recent years, despite Beijing ending its decades-long one-child policy in 2016.

Experts say this trend will result in a smaller workforce and changing consumption patterns over time.

- Trade friction -

The return of US President Donald Trump to the White House this year, and his unpredictable tariff policies, have presented renewed challenges for China's export sector -- a vital buoy for the economy.

So far, overseas shipments have withstood the pressure, in large part by diverting goods from the United States to alternative markets, especially in Southeast Asia.

However, trade tensions between the world's top two economies remain unresolved, with Washington working to rally its allies against Beijing's new curbs in the strategic rare earths industry.

Observers are awaiting a potential in-person meeting this month between Trump and China's President Xi Jinping -- a potential off-ramp to step back from a damaging trade war.

- Maintaining rare earth 'dominance' -

China's edge in the mining and processing of critical rare earths gives it significant leverage in trade disputes, and experts say its supremacy in the vital sector is secure -- at least for now.

"While efforts to break China's dominance will intensify further, Beijing's grip is unlikely to be loosened in the short to medium term," said a report Tuesday by BMI, a unit of Fitch Solutions.

- Overcapacity -

Another closely watched issue is China's industrial overcapacity.

"Since its property bubble burst around 2021, China has been focused on shifting its economic model toward manufacturing and investment to compensate for weak domestic consumption," Nomura analysts said in a recent report.

"This has created overproduction in key industrial sectors, compelling China to increase exports to overseas markets."

That has exacerbated trade tensions, with Beijing accused of flooding global markets in sectors like electric vehicles and solar panels.

- Property market crisis -

As well as spooking potential homeowners, the collapse of the real estate sector has dampened domestic demand for materials including steel, concrete and glass.

As party officials discuss economic challenges this week, the Nomura analysts wrote, "the primary domestic challenge" during the next five-year period is "cleaning up the property market mess".

Related Links
China News from SinoDaily.com

Subscribe Free To Our Daily Newsletters
Tweet

RELATED CONTENT
The following news reports may link to other Space Media Network websites.
SINO DAILY
China's Communist Party begins major economic meetings
Beijing (AFP) Oct 20, 2025
China's ruling Communist Party kicked off four days of closed-door meetings on Monday involving high-ranking officials in discussions on long-term economic planning, state media reported. The talks come at an uncertain time for the world's second-largest economy, beset by sluggish domestic spending, a protracted crisis in the property sector and a turbulent trade war with the United States. Observers are closely watching the gathering of the Central Committee - an elite body composed of around ... read more

SINO DAILY
Shield or Spark? The U.S. Golden Dome and the New Missile Arms Race

Sierra Space clears design milestone for missile tracking satellites in SDA Tranche 2

France bets on 'Nostradamus' radar to spot missiles

Israel says intercepted missile launched from Yemen

SINO DAILY
Ukraine's Zelensky leaves D.C. without Tomahawk missiles he sought

'Wonder weapon'? Five things about US Tomahawks coveted by Ukraine

Ukraine officials in US meet Tomahawk missile makers

Trump says may warn Putin Ukraine could get Tomahawks

SINO DAILY
Airbus consolidates tactical drone lineup under Helicopters division

Revolutionising the Skies: How Helsing's CA-1 Europa Drone Could Transform Autonomous Warfare

At secluded German airport, researchers tackle tricky drone defence

Belgium says foiled jihadist plot for drone attack on politicians

SINO DAILY
Snapdragon Mission Tactical Radio gains Iridium data for global L band connectivity

Terran Orbital finalizes Tranche 1 satellite bus delivery for Lockheed Martin

Taiwan running out of time for satellite communications, space chief tells AFP

Comtech modem earns first sovereign certification for SES O3b mPOWER network

SINO DAILY
Australia must deploy 'unconventional' means to deter China, Russia: APSI

EU 'must respond' to Russia's 'hybrid warfare': von der Leyen

U.S.military ramps up tech capabilities to improve effectiveness

VA uses $84M in grant funding to help homeless veterans; Pentagon disbands advisory committee on women in military

SINO DAILY
Zelensky says met officials of US firm making Patriots, Tomahawk missiles

Tested by Russia, NATO looks to boost Kyiv and its own defences

Trump issues order to pay military as US shutdown drags on

US report says European giant, others sell to Chinese military-linked companies

SINO DAILY
Trump says to meet with Xi at South Korea summit

Trump says Spain should be 'punished' over NATO funding, considering tariffs

Trump says US 'wants to help China, not hurt it'

JPMorgan Chase touts $1.5 tn boost to US critical industries

SINO DAILY
Novel technique reveals true behavior of next-generation MXenes

Unique phase of water revealed in nanoscale confinement

Subscribe Free To Our Daily Newsletters




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2024 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. All articles labeled "by Staff Writers" include reports supplied to Space Media Network by industry news wires, PR agencies, corporate press officers and the like. Such articles are individually curated and edited by Space Media Network staff on the basis of the report's information value to our industry and professional readership. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) Statement Our advertisers use various cookies and the like to deliver the best ad banner available at one time. All network advertising suppliers have GDPR policies (Legitimate Interest) that conform with EU regulations for data collection. By using our websites you consent to cookie based advertising. If you do not agree with this then you must stop using the websites from May 25, 2018. Privacy Statement. Additional information can be found here at About Us.